Jump to content

Anyone watching AUD/CAD?


Nelsy-Boy

Recommended Posts

OK OK. No one is watching AUD/CAD. Funny goings on though. I shorted it late last night and the price went down significantly before returning close to the cloud. My 9120 limit was triggered so I'm now out of the trade and thinking of shorting again. Both the AUD and NZD had these long wicks. Any ideas why? I'm solely TA trading but interested to know.

AUD_CAD_20190103_19.12.png

Link to comment

Thanks @TrendFollower. This was a funny one for me. I will only short when price falls and closes below the cloud and now thanks to @elle, also below the 50 and 150 EMA. The only difference this time, is that I broke my rules by not waiting for a close of candle. I still shorted though and it hit my limit for a profit this time. My stop would have been above the cloud but this did not come into play. The candle has now closed below with a very small candle going on today with limited movement. However, whilst my trading plan would say short this again, I am now wary of the trade due to the spike down then up. I appreciate your comments and am quite happy to receive them all. Thank you.

Link to comment
14 hours ago, Nelsy-Boy said:

OK OK. No one is watching AUD/CAD. Funny goings on though. I shorted it late last night and the price went down significantly before returning close to the cloud. My 9120 limit was triggered so I'm now out of the trade and thinking of shorting again. Both the AUD and NZD had these long wicks. Any ideas why? I'm solely TA trading but interested to know.

AUD_CAD_20190103_19.12.png

about 380 odd points profit?

Nice to get a good trade on over the spike. But unfortunately from an analysis point of view because this is a one off flash, it may be worth removing from your analysis. (or put on the same trade again if you think it could remain going down)

Link to comment

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • image.png

  • Posts

    • SBI LIFE INSURANCE CO – SBILIFE (1D Chart) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Larger Degree Trend Higher (Intermediate degree, orange)  Mode: Motive  Structure: Impulse  Position: Minute Wave ((v)) Navy   Details: Minute Wave ((v)) looks complete around 1940 or could be soon terminating within Minor Wave 5 Grey of Intermediate Wave (5) Orange. Traders are advised to book profits here as prices have turned lower.  Invalidation point: 1667. SBI Life Insurance Co Daily Chart Technical Analysis and potential Elliott Wave Counts:  SBI Life Insurance Co daily chart indicates a progressive impulse wave higher between March 2023 and now as prices hit 1935-40 highs. Probability remains high for the fifth to have terminated at multiple degrees here. If correct, expect a larger degree corrective wave to begin soon against 1940.  The stock terminated Intermediate Wave (4) Orange around 1060-65 range in March 2023. Since then, prices have rallied through 1935-40 highs, sub dividing into five waves. Please note that Minute Wave ((v)) of Minor Wave 5 Grey could be complete or near to completion around 1960-65.  The fibonacci 0.618 extension of Wave 1 through 3 was missed by a small margin and bulls could attempt another push through. Alternatively, a slip through 1667 would confirm a top is in place and bears are back in control.   SBI LIFE INSURANCE CO – SBILIFE (4H Chart) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Larger Degree Trend Higher (Intermediate degree, orange)  Mode: Motive  Structure: Impulse  Position: Minute Wave ((v)) Navy   Details: Minute Wave ((v)) looks complete around 1940 or could be soon terminating within Minor Wave 5 Grey of Intermediate Wave (5) Orange. The sub waves within Wave ((v)) are not clear yet and prices could print a shallow high through 1960 before reversing.  Invalidation point: 1667. SBI Life Insurance Co 4H Chart Technical Analysis and potential Elliott Wave Counts:  SBI Life Insurance Co 4H chart highlight sub waves after Minor Wave 4 Grey completed around 1311 on June 04, 2024 alongside most stocks. Minute Wave ((iii)) was extended and Wave ((iv)) a flat. The sub waves with Minute Wave ((v)) are not very clear and possibility remain for a re-test of 1940. The key level is 1667 though. Conclusion: SBI Life Insurance Co might have completed its Intermediate Wave (5) Orange around 1935-40 range or could be near to termination. A break below 1667 will confirm. Elliott Wave Analyst: Harsh Japee Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • Ada resistance have been very strong though my FA shows a bullish signals. There are so many imbalances to be filled. Anyway good analysis there.  
    • NIFTY 50 (INDIA) Elliott Wave Analysis - Daily Chart NIFTY 50 (INDIA) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Trend Mode: Impulsive Structure: Orange Wave 1 Position: Navy Blue Wave 3 Direction Next Lower Degrees: Orange Wave 2 Details: Navy Blue Wave 2 appears complete, with Orange Wave 1 of Navy Blue Wave 3 now in play. Wave Cancel Invalidation Level: 23,826.0 The NIFTY 50 (India) Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart suggests the market is currently in a trending phase. The overall movement is categorized as impulsive, and the structure under observation is Orange Wave 1. This signifies the early development of a larger wave formation, indicating that the market is embarking on a new upward cycle within the Elliott Wave framework. At present, the market is positioned within Navy Blue Wave 3, which follows the completion of Navy Blue Wave 2. Historically, Wave 3 within Elliott Wave theory tends to exhibit strong upward momentum, aligning with the impulsive nature of the broader trend. The shift from Wave 2 to Wave 3 often signals the beginning of a more powerful and sustained movement in the direction of the overall trend. Key Observations: Navy Blue Wave 2 is now presumed complete. Orange Wave 1 of Navy Blue Wave 3 is currently unfolding, suggesting the market is in the early stages of a potentially significant upward move. The impulsive structure indicates that further upward progression is likely, with Orange Wave 2 expected to follow once Orange Wave 1 concludes. Wave Invalidation Level: The invalid level for the current wave scenario is set at 23,826.0. If the price drops below this threshold, the existing wave pattern would be considered invalid, requiring a reevaluation of the market structure. As long as the price remains above this level, the ongoing impulsive trend is expected to persist, with Orange Wave 1 continuing its formation within Navy Blue Wave 3. Summary: On the daily chart, the NIFTY 50 is in an impulsive phase, with Orange Wave 1 of Navy Blue Wave 3 actively progressing. The bullish trend is anticipated to continue, provided the price does not break below the invalidation level of 23,826.0.   NIFTY 50 (INDIA) Elliott Wave Analysis - Weekly Chart NIFTY 50 (INDIA) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Trend Mode: Impulsive Structure: Navy Blue Wave 3 Position: Gray Wave 5 Direction Next Higher Degrees: Navy Blue Wave 3 (continuing) Details: Navy Blue Wave 2 of 5 appears complete, with Navy Blue Wave 3 now unfolding. Wave Cancel Invalidation Level: 23,826.0 The NIFTY 50 (India) Elliott Wave analysis on the weekly chart indicates the market is in a strong upward trend, classified as impulsive. The structure being analyzed is Navy Blue Wave 3, which is part of the larger Gray Wave 5. This setup suggests the market is in the midst of a significant upward cycle, with further upward potential as Wave 3 progresses. Currently, the market is positioned within Navy Blue Wave 3, following the completion of Navy Blue Wave 2 of 5. This implies that the correction phase linked to Wave 2 has concluded, and the market has entered the impulsive phase of Wave 3. Historically, Wave 3 often represents a robust and extended movement in the trend's direction, aligning with the current market conditions. Key Insights: Navy Blue Wave 3 is expected to push the market further upward, continuing the momentum from the impulsive phase. The market’s trend is not only sustained but appears to be strengthening as it progresses through Navy Blue Wave 3. Wave Invalidation Level: The invalidation level for this wave count is set at 23,826.0. If the price were to drop below this level, the existing Elliott Wave scenario would be invalid, and the market structure would need to be reassessed. However, as long as the price stays above this threshold, the current upward trend, driven by Navy Blue Wave 3, is expected to persist. Summary: In the weekly chart, NIFTY 50 is experiencing an impulsive upward trend, with Navy Blue Wave 3 actively forming within the larger structure of Gray Wave 5. The completion of Navy Blue Wave 2 marks the beginning of a stronger upward movement in Wave 3, provided the price holds above the invalidation level of 23,826.0. Technical Analyst : Malik Awais Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
×
×
  • Create New...
us