Jump to content

The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

1,672 views

The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

 
                            ig group.PNG

Week commencing 6 December

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

This week sees Chinese and US CPI, along with the German ZEW index and rate decisions from the RBA and Bank of Canada. Much of the focus remains on the rise in prices globally, but also on the potential spread of the Omicrom variant. Corporate data includes the end of US earnings season, including Oracle, and a trading statement in the UK from Rolls Royce.

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

9.30am – UK construction PMI (November): index expected to fall to 54.2. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

Tuesday

3am – China trade data (November): exports to rise 26% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

3.30am – RBA rate decision: no change in policy expected. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

10am – German ZEW index (December): economic sentiment to fall to 26.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US trade balance (October): deficit to narrow to $66.8 billion. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (November): index to fall to 58.7. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

Wednesday

3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change in policy expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 3 December): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 910,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

1.30am – China CPI (November): prices to rise 1.7% YoY and 0.6% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 4 December): claims to fall to 227K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

7am – UK balance of trade, GDP (October): GDP to grow 5.1% YoY, and 1.1% for the three months to October. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (November): prices to rise 6.4% YoY and 0.8% MoM, and core CPI to rise 0.5% MoM and 4.7% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (December, preliminary): index to fall to 67. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Company announcements

 

Monday
6 December

Tuesday
7 December

Wednesday
8 December

Thursday
9 December

Friday
10 December

Full-year earnings

 

Victrex  

 

   
Half/ Quarterly earnings

 

  Ashtead,
Ferguson
Stagecoach,
Berkeley Group,
Gamestop
Frasers Group,
FirstGroup,
DS Smith,
Oracle,
Costco,
Broadcom
 
Trading update

 

    British American Tobacco Balfour Beatty,
Rolls Royce
 

 

 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Johnson Matthey, Intermediate Capital

FTSE 250: XP Power, Homeserve, Investec, Liontrust, Redde Northgate

 

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

 

Index adjustments

 

Monday
6 December
Tuesday
7 December
Wednesday
8 December
Thursday
9 December
Friday
10 December
Monday
13 December
FTSE 100  

 

0.19      
Australia 200            
Wall Street     9.4     4.5
US 500 0.06 0.12 0.56 0.06 0.10 0.81
Nasdaq 0.05   0.46     1.37
Netherlands 25            
EU Stocks 50            
China H-Shares         0.3  
Singapore Blue Chip            
Hong Kong HS50         0.4  
South Africa 40   28.2       6
Italy 40         2.1  
Japan 225      

0 Comments


Recommended Comments

There are no comments to display.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Blog Statistics

    • Total Blogs
      3
    • Total Entries
      2,822
  • Latest Forum Topics

  • Our picks

    • International Workers' Day & Early May Trading Hours
      Please be advised that our opening hours will be adjusted on 1 May 2024 for International Workers’ Day and 6 May 2024 for the UK Early May Bank Holiday. Where appropriate, the times listed are in GMT.
        • Like
    • Are these the best AI stocks to watch in May 2024?
      Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon and Meta could be the best AI stocks to watch next month. These stocks are the largest AI stocks in the US based on market capitalisation.
    • Natural Gas Commodity Elliottwave Technical Analysis
      Natural Gas



      Mode - Impulsive 



      Structure - Impulse Wave 



      Position - Wave (iii) of 5



      Direction - Wave (iii) of 5 still in play



       



      Details:  Price now in wave iii as it attempts to breach 1.65 wave i low. Wave (iii) is still expected to extend lower in an impulse.



       



      Natural Gas is currently breaching the previous April low, marking a decisive move as the impulse initiated on 5th March continues its downward trajectory, further extending the overarching impulse wave sequence that commenced back in August 2022. This decline is anticipated to persist as long as the price remains below the critical resistance level of 2.012.



       



      Zooming in on the daily chart, we observe the medium-term impulse wave originating from August 2022, which is persisting in its downward trend after completing its 4th wave - delineated as primary wave 4 in blue (circled) - at 3.666 in October 2023. Presently, the 5th wave, identified as primary blue wave 5, is underway, manifesting as an impulse at the intermediate degree in red. It is envisaged that the price will breach the February 2024 low of 1.533 as wave 5 of (3) seeks culmination before an anticipated rebound in wave (4). This confluence of price movements underscores the bearish sentiment prevailing over Natural Gas in the medium term.



       



      Analyzing the H4 chart, we initiated the impulse wave count for wave (3) from the level of 2.012, which marks the termination point of wave 4. Notably, price action formed a 1-2-1-2 structure, with confirmation established at 1.65 and invalidation set at 2.012. The confirmation of our anticipated direction materialized as price breached the 1.65 mark, signifying a resumption of bearish momentum. Presently, there appears to be minimal resistance hindering the bears, thereby reinstating their dominance in the market. It is projected that wave iii of (iii) of 5 will manifest around 1.43, indicative of the potential for the wave 5 low to extend to 1.3 or even lower. This comprehensive analysis underscores the prevailing bearish outlook for Natural Gas in the immediate future.



       







       







       




      Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo
       
        • Like
×
×
  • Create New...
us