Jump to content

S&P 500 moving averages


DR600

Recommended Posts

Posted

Why is the 200 day MA at 2697 on my Cash chart while down at 2673 on Chris Beauchamp's IG Live chart and even lower on other sites? 

Effectively the value was 2694 and below the 200 day MA at 13:55.

What Am I missing?

 

Thanks,

D

Posted
18 minutes ago, Caseynotes said:

Hi @D600   the answer is because one of you was using a simple moving average while the other was using an exponential moving average.

1966395279_US500_20180628_15_36.thumb.png.10cbe50f8450ea336b0f6e52fbb6aa40.png

 

It turns out that IG now has weekend trading so it turns out the extra two days are messing with the moving average. A bit of a pain.

Posted

Hi @D600   no, if you look at the picture the 200ema hits 2673 at the same time as the 200sma hits 2697 (in shaded circle).

The 200sma is in orange and the 2697 level is in orange.

The 200ema is in grey and the 2673 level is in grey.

That is how at 13:55 on one chart the moving average was at 2673 while the on the other it was at 2697. Because one chart was using the 200sma while the other chart was using the 200ema.

Posted

Hey Caseynotes,

To illustrate my point, check the difference between IG and the Stockcharts.com Chicago close. As you can see the 200 day MA has not been anywhere near that reported by IG. I have it on good account that this is primarily because of the trading weekend inclusion.

IGChicagoClose.png

S&PChicagoClose.gif

Posted

Hi @D600,  all exchanges have different prices and therefore different MAs, IG derive there own prices depending on different price availability from different sources. The weekend prices are derived from the futures market.

Your original question was why were the MAs different between your and Chris's charts for the  S&P500 yesterday. Here is a close up showing the 200sma at 2697 while at the same time the 200ema was at 2673 (the two figures you quoted in your original post).

ma3.PNG.bfbde94e3960f2902a85905a3ec74c9e.PNG

 

Posted

Thanks @Caseynotes - @D600 yes I believe both those points are correct. First off there will be difference between the EMA and SMA which I think answers the original question. Secondly there will always be a difference on these values if you are using different pricing models and data feeds, so it's likely you'll see small differences when you're looking at different charts.

Posted

Firstly I am very clear on what a MA and EMA is mathematically. No confusion there, or in selecting indicators on the IG platform. @Caseynotes it was you who introduced the EMA into this discussion.

I'd be surprised if you are saying Chris Beauchamp's used a EMA and referred to it as an MA.

Frankly I don't think he did.

Note he posted IG LIVE at around 10:40 and I played it back a little bit later. In discussing the S&P performance with a professional trader the day before, the location of the 200 day MA was clear in my head at around 2670. So when watching his review something did not look right to me. I then checked my chart and noted that the IG 200 MA was last at 2670 Friday last week. I then took the values I was seeing at around 13:55 to illustrate the point in my post here. 

Subsequently I heard back from the professional trader who confirmed IG moving averages are affected as mentioned above. I then posted again with this new knowledge - effectively answering my own question.

The difference between the two MA numbers, reflect the fact that @Chris Beauchamp was using what IG calculates as the 200 day MA on the US 500 cash market, the same one that clients also use. There is no EMA MA confusion or mix-up.

The bottom line is there is a HUGE difference between the "market" and the IG mirror market in this respect; an index trading above or below a key indicator such as 200 day MA. Obviously a magnitude I had not realised before, but then again I am not in the market very often.

Personally I believe this is too big to be effective and should be properly addressed. That of course would probably necessitate having an actual US S&P 500 and an All Sessions US S&P 500 market. Fat chance eh?.

I just bascially don't like having to do translations when listening to Bloomberg CNBC or professional traders discuss the S&P. If I was to trade the S&P seriously then I would want to have the key indicators imprinted in my brain and be speaking the same language and not have to do extra steps and second guess how other traders would be reacting to the market 'cos they are referencing different values.

Just my perspective.

regards

cc @JamesIG

Posted

Hi @D600,  ok, I've found the discrepancy. The presentation used a PRT chart  but that should still use the same feed so there should be no difference with the IG platform chart.

Compare in the 2 pics below. In both the 200MA is in red but there is, as you say, a difference which ?coincidently? coincides with the value of the 200 EMA at that particular data point.

I wonder if there might be a bug @JamesIG? or is the PRT one calc'ed differently (using high/low rather than open/close)?

ma4.thumb.PNG.62e0bc5551c2baea00357d797798de0b.PNGma5.thumb.PNG.e28cde791f46abf9bc3bc91b2785d7ac.PNG

 

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • image.png

  • Posts

    • Hi there, I noticed that I do not get the same margin relief using a Guaranteed Stop Loss Order (GSLO) when trading Bitcoin. My max risk here given where my GSLO is and my ticket size is USD10,063 * 0.5 = USD5,031.5 Instead, my margin requirement is the same as if I had no SLO or GSLO at all. Why is there no margin relief?
    • GBPAUD Elliott Wave Analysis - Trading Lounge British Pound/Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) Day Chart GBPAUD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Counter Trend Mode: Corrective Structure: Orange Wave 2 Position: Navy Blue Wave 3 Direction Next Higher Degrees: Orange Wave 3 Details: The analysis indicates that orange wave 1 appears completed, with orange wave 2 currently in progress. Wave Cancel Invalidation Level: 1.92313 Analysis Overview: The GBPAUD daily chart highlights a counter-trend movement using the Elliott Wave methodology. The wave mode is classified as corrective, focusing on the development of orange wave 2 within the broader context of navy blue wave 3. This setup represents a temporary pullback within the larger upward trend. Current Wave Context: Orange wave 1 seems to have concluded, paving the way for orange wave 2, a corrective movement. This phase involves price retracements within the broader structure, setting up for a potential transition into orange wave 3, an impulsive phase. Invalidation Level: The wave count becomes invalid if the price breaches 1.92313, requiring a re-evaluation of the wave structure and overall trend analysis. Corrective Phase Implications: This stage in the Elliott Wave sequence represents a consolidation period within a larger bullish pattern. The ongoing correction in orange wave 2 lays the groundwork for the anticipated upward move of orange wave 3. Trading Insights: Traders can leverage this phase by monitoring signals that suggest the completion of orange wave 2. Anticipating the subsequent upward trend, aligning strategies with market dynamics can yield better results. Key levels within the corrective structure provide critical decision points for trade setups. By understanding the wave dynamics and the broader market behavior, participants can enhance their trading decisions, optimizing for the upcoming orange wave 3 phase.   British Pound/Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) 4-Hour Chart GBPAUD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Counter Trend Mode: Corrective Structure: Orange Wave 2 Position: Navy Blue Wave 3 Direction Next Higher Degrees: Orange Wave 3 Details: The analysis indicates that orange wave 1 appears completed, and orange wave 2 is currently unfolding. Wave Cancel Invalidation Level: 1.92313 Analysis Overview: The GBPAUD 4-hour chart illustrates a counter-trend movement identified using the Elliott Wave framework. The wave mode is corrective, focusing on the development of orange wave 2, which is nested within the broader structure of navy blue wave 3. This pattern highlights a temporary pullback amid the larger upward trend. Current Wave Context: Orange wave 1 is likely completed, transitioning into orange wave 2, a corrective phase. This stage represents a retracement, preparing for the next impulsive move into orange wave 3. Invalidation Level: The wave structure becomes invalid if the price breaches the 1.92313 level, requiring a re-assessment of the wave count and overall market structure. Corrective Phase Implications: The ongoing correction within orange wave 2 is a typical consolidation phase in the larger bullish wave formation. This phase allows the market to realign before resuming its upward momentum with orange wave 3. Trading Insights: Traders should monitor for signals indicating the completion of orange wave 2 to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement. Leveraging key levels within the corrective structure can aid in formulating strategic entries and exits. Understanding the Elliott Wave sequence enhances market interpretation, offering a clearer path for aligning trading decisions with future trends. By identifying key wave dynamics and recognizing potential turning points, market participants can prepare for the next impulsive phase, ensuring strategies align effectively with the broader trend. Technical Analyst : Malik Awais Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • ASX: ASX LIMITED – ASX Elliott Elliott Wave Technical Analysis TradingLounge Greetings, Our Elliott Wave analysis today updates the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) ASX LIMITED – ASX. We see ASX LIMITED possibly pushing lower with wave ((ii))-navy, and then wave ((iii))-navy could move higher. ASX: ASX LIMITED – ASX 1D Chart (Semilog Scale) Analysis Function: Major (Minor degree, gray) Mode: Motive Structure: Impulse Position: Wave ((ii))-navy of Wave 3-grey Details: Wave ((ii))-navy could be pushing lower, targeting around 62.87. After the ((ii))-navy wave finds support levels at lower levels, then most likely the ((iii))-navy wave will return soon. And they can go long when the price gets the support tested at Medium Level 65.00. Invalidation point: 56.54 ASX: ASX LIMITED – ASX 4-Hour Chart Analysis Function: Major trend (Minor degree, grey) Mode: Motive Structure: Impulse Position: Wave ((ii))-navy of Wave 3-grey Details: Wave ((i))-navy has completed five-waves, and wave ((ii))-navy is moving lower, usually after Diagonals, I expect a quick serious decline, so the next target could be around 62.87. Invalidation point: 56.54 Conclusion: Our analysis, forecast of contextual trends, and short-term outlook for ASX: ASX LIMITED – ASX aim to provide readers with insights into the current market trends and how to capitalize on them effectively. We offer specific price points that act as validation or invalidation signals for our wave count, enhancing the confidence in our perspective. By combining these factors, we strive to offer readers the most objective and professional perspective on market trends. Technical Analyst: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master’s Designation). Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here! #ASX #ASX #ASXStocks #Stocks #ElliottWave #TradingLounge  
×
×
  • Create New...
us