Ozquant

ASX200 the thing i trade the most . Lets see if we can fire this thread back up . My volatility model is mildly bullish but with no conviction . Historically (seasonally) first 15 ish days in march are flat to down so my MO will be to short pops with a little more vigour than BTFD . Follow the bias filter and trade hardest with the short term trend . Respect downside breaks with more conviction on fading upside breaks . We are at/near 12 month highs so top end of the range in the TF i trade , No surprise if Feb high isnt broken till last week march/early april . With all datasets i tend to ignore the outliers which Mar '20 qualifies

We are in the midst of a market where value is irrelevant as people only seek price . Forecasting in this type of market is near impossible . Reminds me of 1999 where 3 rolls of ethernet cable and a good spiel could conjure up a multi billion market cap on no revenue at all . I can really only go by technicals and even they are in extreme doubt with Central Banks making price discovery unlikely . Previously when the 1 year moving average on VIX surpassed 20 the market (SPX) produced a swing high that was not exceeded for many years . we are now in that realm and with reduced conviction i feel a top will be made during 2021 that will last for 3 or 4 years . Central Banks are almost past the point on no return with money printing and with inflation seemingly on the horizon the fan meets the proverbial . Anyway love the volatility and ultimately as a short term trader i dont really care where the market is in a year although the probability on my eyes is we are lower than it is today . Trade well out there , get a handle on volatility , best thing you can ever do .

How long is a piece of string ? Generally i put stops behind lows and highs not open or close

Where are you from , i might be able to help you . I can get hold of this type of thing for a few markets

err, so what? See the last months return rate and win rate . Dynamic Volatility Mapping used in a systematic approach that produces very good metrics . OK i am clearly out of my depth here , good luck 😆

Your kidding me aren't you , good luck

My last month , you got one , Beta Analytics . the efficacy of these lines are the bottom line . willing to share ?

You dont trade this do you ?

So many lines , how does that produce any clarity . If you ever saw the bell curve distribution of retraces you might delete a few of those line . Just saying