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Rintel last won the day on April 13

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About Rintel

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  1. Hi guys. Wanted to thank you guys for viewing my posts and hope you have found it helpful . If anyone has any feedback as to how I can improve them to provide more help please shoot them here. God Bless CA
  2. Cant delete the charts in the bottom... ignore them ๐Ÿ˜€
  3. Good morning. Interesting day in the market yesterday. London had a flash crash . got traders spooked . Some ISM data was release and it showed a slight decrease in the economic momentum that we have had since the middle of last year. I continue to remain bullish, however I am starting to pay more attention to these data readings, I think at some point in the next 3-4 months, things could deteriorate and its important to be ahead of that. If my thoughts donโ€™t come to fruition the response is simple keep buying stocks till the cows come home. If they do , then I Would allocate some capital
  4. https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/05/04/markets-live-latest-coronavirus-news-pound-euro-ftse-100/amp/ They called it a โ€œ Flash Crashโ€ I call it the math. I recall warning that those levels were not a good risk reward play. Don't chase guys. There are always many opportunities.
  5. Last week I posted some model outputs for XLE vs Oil on Twitter. Since then the XLE has outperformed Oil by almost 100%. With Oil @ 5.9% and the XLE over 12%. That is what we call a good week. ๐Ÿ˜‚
  6. For anyone paying attention over the last few days, if you recall I stated that the FTSE had a better risk reward on the 21-04-21 here I updated the model today here and it looks like we are right at the top of the vol adjusted range. I took a 22 day rolling average and plunged in a 1 standard dev I repeated the same calculation on a 5 day rolling avg( Upper and lower bound are respective standard devs) and it appears to be edging very close to it. I would not be buying up here. This is where I would collect some profits. Reflation and recovery are still I play BUT, let's not get
  7. Dashboard Review Last week we heard headlines about taxes, crypto's blah blah blah, in summary, people were spooked. Let's just take breather and actually look at performance shall we ? Volatility crushed but up in the last two weeks ( might be due to the crypto carnage) interesting that oil volatility is up on the week and also up in the last three months and up in the last 6 weeks. This may start to matter in the coming weeks perhaps the market is starting to sniff out slower growth ? Airlines benefit from lower oil costs. US equity style factors look good d
  8. FYSE 100 update.... 22-04-2021... Still marching ( Volatility model nailed this one) ๐Ÿ™‚
  9. Quick Model Update On BTC-USD Still bullish BTC-USD ( 54K) Top of the range ( 62K) Bottom ( 54K) 8%- 15% upside from these levels. I just measured the returns from the peak we had on the 13th of April 2021 In terms of the dispersion, that entire move is >1 standard deviation from the average return. Extreme moves like this often get corrected The Risk reward is alot better from these levels . Becareful out there CA
  10. Better a picture than a 10page waffle Gold is now higher than it was a year ago. Interesting analysis from the price model. What could this mean ? Correction ? Or a new trend ? Will need more data. Gold bulls have been getting involved since the big dip in March. Deflation as interest rates rollover by end of year ? Need more data.
  11. Good evening ; FTSE 100 still bullish 686. ( 700.1 ---- 677) Model Output for volatility Looking at the spread between the latest volatility data from the FTSE differentiated with respect to previous volatility data, it looks like this is a minor correction. Statistically speaking, looking for entries around here or at lower price levels should offers a very good risk reward. Hopefully we get to the low-end of the range at higher vol. What you want to be doing is making purchases as that spread ( red line) edges closer to the bottom of the volatility adjusted range ( purple
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