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Ludwik Chodzko-Zajko IG

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Ludwik Chodzko-Zajko IG last won the day on September 5

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  1. Hey, Underlying exchange is shut due to public holiday - reopens Wednesday: Mid-Autumn Festival: The market is closed from September 19 (Sunday) to September 21 (Tuesday) for holidays, and on September 18 (Saturday) for weekends. The market will open as usual from September 22 (Wednesday). No after-hours trading will be carried out on the night of September 17 (Friday).
  2. Monday 6th September US index futures close early at 6pm. We’ll make out-of-hours prices on Wall Street, US 500, Russell 2000, US Fang Index and US Tech until they re-open at 11pm US and Canadian equities, and soft commodities, will be closed The VIX will close early at 4.30pm London Sugar closes early at 5pm US rates, Euribor and the Dollar Index close early at 6pm US metals and energies, including Nymex Crude, Gold and Silver close early at 6pm Brent Crude, London Gas Oil and ICE WTI close early at 6.30pm Tuesday 7th September US grain futures open at 1am Lumber futures open at 3pm, livestock at 2.30pm All other markets open as normal Have a good one!
  3. Hi all, Some info on what to expect this evening. Obviously these are my views, and should be taken as such (not advice etc). Good luck! Many states now on a knife-edge - meaning this could easily turn into a landslide (hate the term) at the slightest shift. The “Toss-up” States High quality polls seem to be putting Texas & Nevada out Biden & Trump’s reach respectively. Yes Texas might swing, but no point reading this if it does. Georgia may spike the Trump campaign. It is still marginal “Toss-up” / Lean Rep. due to a late drift to Biden, does appear this will revert to mean (not many high quality polls). Polls close Close (GMT) First Results (GMT) College votes Texas 20:00:00 01:00:00 01:00:00 38.00 Georgia 20:00:00 01:00:00 01:00:00 12.00 Nevada 23:00:00 04:00:00 04:00:00 6.00 Assuming these fall as expected leaves you with: Polls close Close (GMT) First Results (GMT) College votes North Carolina 19:30:00 00:30:00 00:30:00 15.00 Ohio 19:30:00 00:30:00 00:30:00 18.00 Florida 20:00:00 01:00:00 00:00:00 29.00 Pennsylvania 20:00:00 01:00:00 01:00:00 20.00 Michigan 21:00:00 02:00:00 01:00:00 16.00 Wisconsin 21:00:00 02:00:00 02:00:00 10.00 Arizona 21:00:00 02:00:00 03:00:00 11.00 North Carolina remains the most important state of the night (it’s out early – without it Trump cannot win)[1]. Ohio is, as usual, vital. Trump does just seem to be edging it here – again it’s a must win. FL & PA States Polls close Close (GMT) First Results (GMT) College votes North Carolina 19:30:00 00:30:00 00:30:00 15.00 Ohio 19:30:00 00:30:00 00:30:00 18.00 Florida 20:00:00 01:00:00 00:00:00 29.00 Pennsylvania 20:00:00 01:00:00 01:00:00 20.00 Michigan 21:00:00 02:00:00 01:00:00 16.00 Wisconsin 21:00:00 02:00:00 02:00:00 10.00 Arizona 21:00:00 02:00:00 03:00:00 11.00 Pennsylvania (Biden’s backyard) has been getting all the love /media attention recently. Trump is struggling to catch Biden here. For Trump to win either the polling is very inaccurate (more so than 2016), or turnout surges heavily in his favour. Even the Trafalgar group have Trump struggling here in all but their most recent polls. Without PA again he can’t win[2]. Florida is Florida, Trump looks competitive, but must win it. Biden can live without, but might indicate where Arizona falls. MI, WI, AZ Michigan 21:00:00 02:00:00 01:00:00 16.00 Wisconsin 21:00:00 02:00:00 02:00:00 10.00 Arizona 21:00:00 02:00:00 03:00:00 11.00 Michigan & Wisconsin now look very difficult for Trump (Biden 4-6pts ahead in high quality polls). If Biden’s winning elsewhere its safe to write these off. Final sting in the tail is Arizona – if Trump’s losing elsewhere then this is largely moot. Assuming he’s won Ohio, Florida & one more of the above, Arizona may still trip him up. -this hasn’t change, it’s close. “What if the polls are wrong?” They’d have to be very wrong – in a way that ruins credibility of the major pollsters. A high turnout (now inevitable) will skew this to an extent. The “shy tory” phenomenon of 2015 fame has reappeared in the vocabulary of American pundits. There is little hard evidence of this in the states (plenty of anecdotal evidence). This & turnout will still likely be the talking points overnight. Why are betting odds for Trump shorter than polls suggest? Probably combination of Trump buyers & the above. How best to watch / keep track of results? On twitter: @DailyFXTeam @IGSquawk Live DFX discussion on November 3rd at 11:00 AM ET here: https://bit.ly/2TNILnO Online: https://fivethirtyeight.com/ https://ig.ft.com/us-election-2020/ These state maps were useful last time, updated links to follow(on the wiki): http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/florida [1] Yes it’s *possible*- but you’d be 0 bid on the chance. [2] Also 0 bid on Trump winning without it.
  4. Client services apparently getting a few queries on this. All US markets open as normal - Brazil has a public holiday so the Brazil 60 will be shut. Cheers, Ludwik
  5. Go ahead - we don't endorse anything external, but happy for you to link. Just nothing paid for please.
  6. Morning, You can see these in platform, this post shows where: Shout if any questions. Cheers, Ludwik
  7. Still in process. Should you wish to amend your book cost once re-booked (share dealing accounts) - this link shows you how to do so: https://www.ig.com/uk/help-and-support/investments/share-dealing-and-isas/how-do-i-edit-my-book-cost
  8. As below: To all IG clients with $TSLA & $AAPL positions, we intend to book the stock splits throughout the morning. Should you see your shares temporarily booked off - please don't worry. Corp actions estimate they'll be finished early PM, but subject to change. Any questions, just ask. Have a good one. Ludwik
  9. Looks like you're trying to place a limit order on a SETSqx equity - won't work unless you're in one of the auction periods. Info below: LSE exchanges and why only at quotes is available? 1.SETS (Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service) - is the London Stock Exchange’s flagship electronic order book, trading FTSE100, FTSE250, FTSE Small Cap Index constituents, Exchange Traded Funds, Exchange Trading Products as well as other liquid AIM, Irish and London Standard listed securities. The Exchange also operates a version of SETS on a modified trading cycle that supports Securitised Derivatives. 2. SETSqx (Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service – quotes and crosses) - is a trading service for securities less liquid than those traded on SETS. SETSqx combines periodic electronic auctions each day with standalone non-electronic quote-driven market making providing guaranteed liquidity in at least one Exchange Market Size (EMS). Essentially it is a hybrid of a quote driven order book and an electronic order book. Quote driven for part of the day and at different dimes of the day there are auctions (uncrossing: 8AM, 9AM, 11AM, 2PM, 4:35PM ). You can participate in the auction as if it were an electronic order book. On our L2 deal ticket you will not see market depth so you know it’s either SETSqx or SEAQ. The strip at the bottom with the uncrossing times tells you it’s a SETSxq stock. 3. SEAQ - is London Stock Exchange's non-electronically executable quotation service that allows market makers to quote prices in AIM securities (not traded on SETS or SETSqx) as well as a number of fixed interest securities. Purely quote driven.
  10. For those not aware – swap bands for undated commodities are now visible in platform. You’ll need to add a watchlist to your workspace and un-hide the relevant columns. The values snap at 1600 BST to reflect what we expect to adjust by that evening. Naturally this means that before 1600 BST the rates will reflect the previous day’s funding. Swap bands are inclusive of a 2.5% admin charge. Any questions, please ask.
  11. I can confirm that Caseynotes is not, in fact, an employee of IG. @Caseynotes your contrubutions are very much appreciated however!
  12. Here's the JUN-JUL spread - into positive territory for the first time since Feb.
  13. Dax futures remain in auction - GXM0 indicating 10711.5 ATM
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