Ludwik Chodzko-Zajko IG

Missed all the citrus producing areas (just), from my very basic research looks like they're all concentrated in the "pan" rather than the "handle". Hurricane season still has 6 weeks to go so one to watch (same applies to sugar, RBOB and WTI - refineries in Louisiana / Texas).

Category 4 (2nd most severe) storm now: https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/hurricane-michael-path-evacuation-florida-storm-surge-weather-forecast-today-2018-live-updates/

Oldie but Goldie, hurricane / storm Michael now looks set to hit Florida with strength. Futures have been on a downtrend of late. Reference for those out the loop:

Stand...by...for...ACTION!" "Anything can happen in the next half-hour! $TLRY (I'll see myself out).

Morning all, Below are the most recent ratios and earnings for TLRY hot off BBG this morning. Moves of the magnitude seen last night are extremely rare and, potentially unwarranted given fundamentals (as usual my opinion only, not advice etc etc.) As it stands the shares desk have been able to secure exactly 0 borrow in this stock, they'll keep trying but looking increasingly unlikely. We do offer equity options (by phone) in hours on US shares, however premiums on puts are eye-watering ATM. Will update if anything interesting pops up. Cheers, Ludwik

24% / 625 bp hike

ERDOGAN SAYS TURKEY SHOULD LOWER RATES

Erdogan on the wires saying interest rates cause inflation & that they are a tool of exploitation. No pressure on the CB then....

Morning all, Crunch time in Ankara at 1200 BST today. Reuters polls are suggesting an increase of 425 basis points to 22%. Turkish banks, among them Garanti & IS bank, seem to be calling this much higher with predictions of 500bp / 22.75%. Most US & EU banks are hiding their cards. Privately a few of our liquidity providers are suggesting 500bp over the next two Central Bank meetings and a 300bp rise today; of course these are 3rd party predictions so usual caveats apply. We intend to widen guaranteed stop distances in the run up to this (and other pairs for MPC/ ECB), either way expect some volatility across all TRY pairs.

Morning all, It is Labor [sic] Day in the US & Canada on Monday. Overall summary of changes to market hours (all hours below in UK BST): Monday 3rd September • US index futures close early at 18.00. We will make out-of-hours prices for Wall St, S&P and Nasdaq until they re-open at 23.00. • US & Canadian equities, and soft commodities, will be closed. • The VIX will close early at 16.30. • London Sugar (No. 5) closes early at 17.00. • US rates, Euribor and the Dollar Index close early at 18.00. • US metals & energies, including Nymex Crude, Gold and Silver close early at 18.00 • Brent Crude & London Gas Oil close early at 18.30. Tuesday 4th September • US grain futures open at 01.00. • Lumber futures open at 15.00, livestock at 14.30. • All other markets open as normal FX volumes will likely be pretty thin throughout the holiday. I'll try to answer any specifics you have, feel free to comment below. Cheers, Ludwik

Does look odd. Bots/ paid for?

SocGen says USD/TRY is heading towards 8.00 https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/socgen-says-usdtry-is-heading-towards-800-20180820

Sure, we've been monitoring. Will look to make some changes this morning.

Erdogan: "Ignore forex prices"