Kodiak
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Posts posted by Kodiak
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On 18/02/2020 at 13:59, dmedin said:
It's DEAD EASY in hindsight! Anyone can produce a graph and say 'You should have bought here!' and 'You should have sold there!'
Well the signals are in realtime, but it needs a "brainfilter" to be profitable😉
And my brainfilter needs to be optimized😄
The most important are the exits, thats where the money is made
..or lost😉
Only one signal today, long at 13 732
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2 hours ago, HPbrand said:
The sentiment index right now is S&P 72%, Dow 61%. Yes, you could go long now and get taken out. But what you need to monitor is change whilst the market moves. I'm saying it will help, not a guarantee to make the right trade.
If you think they are wrong
Buy SP 500 and sell Dow same amount in money and close both at the same time when you have som profit
or Buy SP 500 and short some weak stocks in SP 500
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For "buy and hold" Barrier options maybe better?
(For those that have access to them)
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3 hours ago, dmedin said:
Shorting into such a strong uptrend is like p!ssing into the wind ...
Yes all the dip buyers make it hard shorting
Did not trade today because i suck at trading😉
But maybe something like this for those that can?
2 short scalp 20-30 points or so?
If i had placed a trade i had probably **** it up😄
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Any reason why we cant use limit orders (take profit) on options? IG Europe options platform (i know the difference with Nadex)
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14 hours ago, dmedin said:
Think I'll stick to 20 50 200 SMA on all time frames. (Except weekly where 10 and 40 equate to the 50 and 200 daily SMA)
Looks better on the hourly chart.
Stochastics, momentum, Williams %R, Directional Movement, MACD and CCI don't really help me.
I use only 2 MAs as a filter (used the same settings long time)
Had some time over and did a backtest buy sell on cross
I used a trailing stop and optimized the trailing stop only and for the whole year 2019
and did a backtest (out of sample) with best setting this year from year end until now
I know it will probably fail in the future but everything works sometimes the hard thing is to know when
And its DAX tick chart
When will we have tick charts in proorder?
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44 minutes ago, Kodiak said:
One thing i miss and would be a big improvement
Limit orders on options (take profit)
Say if you buy at 30 and would like to sell half or all at 60
But i think i know why😉
In theory😁
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45 minutes ago, FT5E said:
traded the daily FTSE option today instead of the DFB and to be honest the spread on the option for a daily is too wide. Plus the option price movement lagged the index considerably. Advantage I liked was limited drain on your funds and you know how much you will lose
One thing i miss and would be a big improvement
Limit orders on options (take profit)
Say if you buy at 30 and would like to sell half or all at 60
But i think i know why😉
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59 minutes ago, dmedin said:
You can sell it any time you like. If you let it expire you lose the deposit (which was about £120 I think).
It's really just a spread bet/CFD made to look like an option but there's no stop loss.
You pay 120 for the right to buy at 3400 at expiry, but you can sell it before
Take a look at this😉
https://www.barchart.com/options/strategy-indexes
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/$CLL/performance?mode=monthly
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"
Exploding volume of single stock options
1. Single stock options volumes (notional value) were at an all-time high to start the year, and are up another 77% in the past 6 weeks.
2. The volume traded in single stock options is almost as large as the volume traded in the underlying stocks themselves; this is a significant increase from 2016 when options volumes were only 30% of shares volumes.
3. The recent growth is driven by a handful of underliers including TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, DIS and IBM"
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In 2019, borrowing in euros and investing in U.S. dollars would have generated a return of nearly 5%. By comparison, borrowing Swiss francs last year and buying U.S. dollars would have only yielded a return of 1.7%. Borrowing Japanese yen would have earned just 1.5%.
That has encouraged euro bears. Hedge funds have been ramping up their net short bets in recent weeks; net short positions are not far from a three-year high."
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Maybe PRT V11 will have more data?
If we are still alive by then😉
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5 hours ago, dmedin said:
It's beginning to look like I just don't know what I'm doing and it might be time to call it quits.
Its simple😉
Always buy bad news, bad news for the economy = good news for the stock market
Bad news = more free money from the central banksters
Take this last thing the coronavirus could mean at least 10% rally in stocks?
and when they find a cure the markets will open with a gap up and rise 5% more
rinse and repeat🤑
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On 04/02/2020 at 08:25, Caseynotes said:
US indices looking to continue the build off support, no major news today. US Democrat party caucus voting started in Iowa and Biden scraps through at the last minute by scrounging votes. Obama and Clinton have already started on their 'shoot down Bernie' campaign.
The Democrats should have tried more to persuade Joe Kennedy to give Trump a match
Instead of this old geezers and Buttman
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"Vanguard Group, the $5.1 trillion money manager, said this week that starting on Jan. 22 it will stop selling the ETFs, which use complex financial engineering to amplify market returns, using a concept known as "leverage." In addition to banning the the so-called leveraged ETFs, Vanguard will also halt sales of "inverse ETFs," which use similar financial-engineering techniques to provide investors with fat gains whenever stocks fall."
Why now? 😰
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DAX Daily
Hammer today and oversold
Maybe time to try to close the gap?
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Had a look at Autochartist and they have also a Android app
Maybe with push notifications?
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If you login to Autochartist you get more options
In the old platform you find it in tools, (or else look up Autochartist)
mail
"
Market Snapshot E-mails provide you with a technical outlook of the markets for the next 24 - 48 hours.
Market Snapshot E-mails are sent out three times per day for markets such as Forex and Commodities, and once per day for the Tokyo, London and New York Stock Exchanges."
Also correlating signals
"Autochartist scans our Trading Opportunities and alerts you by email if we find Horizontal Levels and Chart Patterns that have coincided in their forecast of a potential market move."
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Short term trend down
I expected the bulls to try to close the gap so i did not take the short
a well better luck next time
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Could be worse🙄
In Germany they have to pay tax on losses also? (2021)
"The most important change in a nutshell: In future, losses from forward transactions can only be offset against profits from forward transactions and only up to an amount of EUR 10,000 per year. This leads to paradoxical results in taxation. In extreme cases, limiting the offsetting of losses can even result in taxes having to be paid even though losses have been generated (see example below)"
https://www.godmode-trader.de/artikel/die-schlimmsten-befuerchtungen-bewahrheiten-sich,8027934
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23 minutes ago, dmedin said:
Uh ...
That's horrible. Why?
Edit: having a read through the rest of the thread
I saw this and not sure what it is? (if its true?)
I dont pay tax in Germany but afraid it could spread all over Europe like the plague?
Maybe we could get some info from IG about this?
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On 05/01/2020 at 19:24, dmedin said:
Did any active traders beat the 35% returns all the passive investors made on their U.S. tracker funds this year
If you pay tax in Germany this year could be a tough one😱
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/german-derivatives-traders-shocked-by-new-tax-law.339638/
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Commodities seems to move more?
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DAX seems to be between a rock and a hard place?
I wonder where the max pain is?
"Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open contract puts and calls - and the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration."
Indices
in Indices and Macro Events
Posted
Maybe if i have the time i will do that?
I am not trying to sell something..
Only trying to help and show how TA can be used