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Caseynotes

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Posts posted by Caseynotes

  1. As expected yesterday the indices went looking for resistance and finding it at the short term highs when price fell back to settle near the starting point. Looking at the charts last night it seemed obvious that the next move would be to retest the lows so was a little annoyed to find this morning that they had already done it with Dax dropping 90 tick in the early hours. The down side may not be over yet though as Dow is still reaching and Nikkei has pushed through it's orange daily support level.  >> 

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  2. Early signs indicating a day for testing resistance following the Nikkei lead upward. FTSE has the least distance to travel with the recent short term high at 7095 while Dax has the 11690 to get through before 11851.

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  3. Week end and a look back over the daily charts the Dow looks corrective rather than bearish after the recent refusal to go through the highs while the trade dispute is unresolved.

    They have all gone into consolidation with strong support while waiting for new news to determine next direction.

    The recently announced new up coming trade talks were put on hold during the week with China refusing to consider making any concessions. Meanwhile reports continue out of China of retail sales being badly hit in large markets such as new car sales and property sales with some new build apartments seeing a 30% price drop. Bloomberg reported during the week on the devastation to retail traders in China's stock market quoting an average loss per trader of 100,000 Yuan (around $15,000). China has run out of ammunition for tariff retaliation and Trump looks happy to continue playing the waiting game.

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  4. The morning session saw a trip down for Dax to retest 11487 while Dow went sideways, Dax now returning to 11623 as Dow attempts to break up through 25500 which was a support level on Wednesday. So the US session again looks poised to go higher but the story this week has been for the US open to push lower.

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  5. Another big sell off inspired by the US session again yesterday with patient recovery during the APAC session. FTSE least affected and nearing the top of range.

    Difficult to call whether this 3 bar rally is just a short term retracement before a move to test the lows or a reversal back towards Wednesday's highs. The Euro open at 7:00 may give a hint but the London open at 8:00 should decide it.

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  6. Dow has worked it's way back up to pause at it's previous weekly support level around 25748 and Dax has done the same resting at it's previous weekly support level around 11862 having broken up through it's previous monthly support level 11700 yesterday (dark red). Nikkei and FTSE showing the same chart pattern as Dax and Dow.

    From these red levels maybe looking at a short retracement but could equally see a solid push through, the London open should decide it either way.

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  7. The Dow giving an example of price just dribbling out of a triangle pattern sideways rather than exploding out up or down but is building on successive short term support levels to keep retesting resistance. Currently looking for downside below 25172 or a test up of 25484.

    Dax is positioned well for a test of the old monthly support turned resistance at 11700 while FTSE looks to resistance at 7078. These two are following the recent Nikkei move up.

    The Dow daily is an interesting bear pennant made up of dojis, obviously bearish but these recent moves have been more sentiment based than technical.

    1 hour charts (note I have changed round the positions). 

    Daily Dow.

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  8. Dow puts in a doji 1 hour bar at the triangle upper line so not decisive either way. FTSE and Dax have bounced off support and hovering mid range. Looks like it's up to the US open (20 min) to make a move.

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  9. Start the week so a recap of the weekly chart and the big question is will Dow seek to retest the low at 24895 or look above for resistance? The 1 Hour shows Dow trapped in the same triangle pattern as S&P through there is a short term support level at 25200 and that level is key for the morning session.

    Dax on the 7 am Euro open is looking to push lower but lacks conviction and is waiting for the London open to decide direction. 

     

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  10. Ah I see, no, the data is packaged by IG, it's the same on the charts on the platform, you can only scroll back so far on the 5 min chart, same for all the other time frames so if you wanted to keep seeing further back you need to keep stepping up time frames.

    I believe this is done to keep control of the resources needed. They need to provide data stretching back so far and it would be a problem to provide all that for every time frame. I suspect all brokers do this, the only other prospect is to download using the IG API

    This video explains how;

     

  11. Hi @skibum84, 2 things to check.

    Firstly make sure in options > chart that the Max data levels are as per pic 4 which are the same as my own settings. Both numbers.

    Second, try deleting all data first then restart MT4 and then go through the download sequence again stating with the 1 min.

    In pic1 I had just deleted all data and was left with just 10 days worth, then in pic2 I had re-loaded and have data back to 1997.  I got the disclaimer notice each time plus a message to say there was no new data but it loaded new data all the same. 

    hc1.thumb.PNG.c4ce08d8e385f8979ff3944ed18ab6d9.PNGhc2.thumb.PNG.d56595e0203755ca1c450a0075fb4a19.PNGhc3.thumb.PNG.874a294f9046d4cce84f1a83b1505ac6.PNGhc4.thumb.PNG.d308fb344d28a6eb1fe2a1e84cf606bd.PNG

     

  12. It was most disconcerting yesterday morning to find on the Dow chart that my auto fractal support/resistance drawing app had been completely overwhelmed and I was forced to draw my own **** horizontal lines. This morning the same has happened on the Dax! When will this madness end? 

    The FTSE has seen twice as much action out of hours of late than during a typical day with a continued drop then recovery to return to yesterday's close and similar story with the Dax which has just backed away from yesterday's high.

    Not too much on the calendar today though maybe something out of the G20 meeting. China and US to start trade talks again announced overnight may provide a boost.

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