Jump to content

Gold Prediction


Guest love4ever4nature

Recommended Posts

This is one of those comical times when people contradict themselves every day.  Josh's 'trade of the week' was short gold, one day later it's long.  Just goes to show how little use technical analysis is when there is no clear trend in the market and when you're trying to spot 'patterns' in extremely short-range charts with arbitrary points of S/R.  He is also 'predicting' that the indices will have a deep retracement, so let's see what's being said this time tomorrow.

Edited by dmedin
Link to comment
On 22/11/2019 at 13:52, CharlotteIG said:

If you want I can speak with the analysts at IG about doing a mix of longer and shorter time periods for TA rather than just dailies. 

 

Hey, I was wondering why Josh was talking about shorting gold on that week's 'trade of the week' because he was saying at the start that he 'wouldn't necessarily sell at this price' (so why was short gold chosen as trade of the week in the first place then), and the fact that he changed his mind a day later.

I'd rather see the analysts take their time and do some good quality analysis.

Link to comment

I don't see any compelling reason to go long or short on gold right now based on this chart but it's fascinating how it's not dropping further as the indices rise.  On the COT reports you can see that big speculators are still long on gold.

 

1826154730_SpotGold_20191128_17_21.thumb.png.44baa5e8d3724ed69abb4e1c308483ce.png

 

cotbase-gold-futures-cot-net-positions.thumb.jpg.48806f6c930727a893fd023d55274e6b.jpg

Edited by dmedin
  • Like 1
Link to comment
14 hours ago, dmedin said:

I don't see any compelling reason to go long or short on gold right now based on this chart but it's fascinating how it's not dropping further as the indices rise.  On the COT reports you can see that big speculators are still long on gold.

yes, you can see on the long term chart the large specs have not abandoned their long positions, well not yet anyway.

image.thumb.png.5d127803fbb9a20520cf187b63cc693f.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
  • 2 months later...

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis - Day Chart USD/JPY Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Trend Mode: Impulsive Structure: Orange Wave 5 Position: Navy Blue Wave 3 Direction Next Lower Degrees: Navy Blue Wave 4 Details: Orange wave 4 completed at 155.721, now orange wave 5 is in play. The USD/JPY Elliott Wave analysis on the day chart identifies the current trend and wave structure of the currency pair. This analysis indicates that the function is trend, meaning the market is moving in a specific direction with clear momentum. The mode is impulsive, highlighting strong and definite movement in the market. The wave structure under examination is orange wave 5, which is part of a larger wave pattern. The current position within this structure is navy blue wave 3, indicating that the pair is in the third wave of a larger degree wave. This wave generally shows significant and pronounced movement, reflecting robust market momentum. The direction for the next lower degrees is navy blue wave 4. This suggests that after the current wave completes, the market will transition into navy blue wave 4. The analysis notes that orange wave 4 has been completed at the level of 155.721. This completion marks the end of a corrective phase and the beginning of the final impulsive wave in this sequence. Currently, orange wave 5 is in play, indicating that the market is expected to continue its upward movement. This wave is essential as it represents the last push in the current impulsive sequence before a potential correction or trend reversal might occur. Traders and analysts use this information to predict market behavior and make strategic decisions about their trading positions. In summary, the USD/JPY pair is in an impulsive trend on the day chart, with orange wave 5 currently active. This follows the completion of orange wave 4 at 155.721, marking the shift into the final wave of the sequence. The analysis suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward movement as part of navy blue wave 3, moving towards the completion of orange wave 5.   USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis - 4 Hour Chart USD/JPY Elliott Wave Technical Analysis Function: Trend Mode: Impulsive Structure: Orange Wave 5 Position: Navy Blue Wave 3 Direction Next Lower Degrees: Navy Blue Wave 4 Details: Orange wave 4 completed at 155.721, now orange wave 5 is in play. The USD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-hour chart focuses on identifying the current trend and wave structure of the currency pair. The analysis designates the function as trend, indicating that the market is moving in a specific direction rather than fluctuating randomly. The mode is classified as impulsive, which signifies strong and clear directional momentum. The wave structure under scrutiny is orange wave 5, which is part of a larger wave pattern. Specifically, the position within the wave structure is navy blue wave 3, indicating that the pair is in the third wave of the larger degree wave. This wave typically exhibits significant movement, reflecting strong market momentum. The next lower degree of the wave structure is navy blue wave 4, suggesting that once the current wave completes, the market will transition to this next wave. The analysis highlights that orange wave 4 has been completed at the level of 155.721. This completion signals the end of a corrective phase and the beginning of the final impulsive wave within this sequence. Currently, orange wave 5 is in play, indicating that the market is expected to continue its upward movement. This wave is crucial as it represents the final push in the current impulsive sequence before a potential correction or trend reversal occurs. Traders and analysts use this information to anticipate market behavior and make informed decisions about entry and exit points. In summary, the USD/JPY pair is in an impulsive trend on the 4-hour chart, with orange wave 5 currently active. This follows the completion of orange wave 4 at 155.721, marking the transition into the final wave of the sequence. The analysis indicates that the market is likely to continue its upward movement as part of navy blue wave 3, moving towards the completion of orange wave 5.   Technical Analyst : Malik Awais Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • AAPL Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Daily Chart, Apple Inc., (AAPL) Daily Chart  AAPL Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend   MODE: Impulsive  STRUCTURE: Motive  POSITION: Wave 3   DIRECTION: Upside in wave 3   DETAILS: Looking for wave 3 to unfold as we seem to be in a third of a third. Equality of 3 vs. 1 stand at 254$ while 1.618 3 vs. 1 stands at 350$.   AAPL Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 4Hr Chart, Apple Inc., (AAPL) 4Hr Chart  AAPL Elliott Wave Technical Analysis  FUNCTION: Trend   MODE: Impulsive  STRUCTURE: Motive  POSITION: Wave {iii}.   DIRECTION: Upside in (iii) of {iii}.  DETAILS: Looking for upside into wave (iii). We could expect some “turbulence” around 230$ at the end of MG1, to then move towards Medium Level at 250.   Welcome to our latest Elliott Wave analysis for Apple Inc. (AAPL). This analysis provides an in-depth look at AAPL's price movements using the Elliott Wave Theory, helping traders identify potential opportunities based on current trends and market structure. We will cover insights from both the daily and 4-hour charts to offer a comprehensive perspective on AAPL's market behavior.  * AAPL Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Daily Chart*  The daily chart indicates that AAPL is in the midst of wave 3, specifically in the third of a third wave, which is often the most powerful phase in the Elliott Wave sequence. The equality of wave 3 vs. wave 1 stands at $254, while the 1.618 extension of wave 3 vs. wave 1 targets $350. This suggests substantial upside potential if the wave structure unfolds as expected. Traders should monitor for strong upward movements and prepare for potential resistance at these key levels.  * AAPL Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 4Hr Chart*  The 4-hour chart shows that AAPL is advancing into wave (iii) of {iii}. As wave (iii) progresses, we can expect some “turbulence” around the $230 level, which corresponds to the end of MinorGroup1 (MG1). After overcoming this level, the next target is the Medium Level at $250. This aligns with the daily chart's projection and reinforces the bullish scenario.   Technical Analyst : Alessio Barretta Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • Who is ready to embark on an exhilarating journey into the world of BGB futures trading? This event promises to be a true test of your skills and strategies, with the chance to win a remarkable prize pool. As we navigate the dynamic markets, you'll have the opportunity to showcase your trading prowess and potentially unlock a share of the 20,000 BGB prize. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a newcomer eager to learn, this event offers a chance to hone your skills and compete against fellow enthusiasts. The competition will be fierce, the stakes high, but the rewards even greater. This is your chance to push the boundaries of your trading abilities and achieve new levels of success. Let's dive into the fast-paced world of BGB futures trading. Prepare your strategies, sharpen your trading tools, and get ready to trade your way to victory. This is an event you won't want to miss - the thrill of the markets and the chance to win big await. Experience the excitement, the challenges, and the potential rewards. Let the trading games begin!
×
×
  • Create New...
us