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Caseynotes

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Posts posted by Caseynotes

  1. 7 hours ago, Fajar said:

    all,

    I try to draw line H1 and usually I can see it in other TF for my analysis. However, I can not see in other TF at this moment. Do you have any experience on it and how to solve it?

    Screen Shot 2019-10-13 at 09.54.45.png

    Hi, on mt4 the line will transfer of you move up and down the time frames on the same chart but won't transfer the line onto a new chart of the same instrument (gbpusd), you will need to add the line manually for each new chart.

  2. Found an interesting auto ABC pattern finder for mt4 so thought to add some content about ABC patterns and how to find them. 

    The ABC pattern was originally described by H M Gartley in his book “Profits in the Stock Market" 1935. He also developed the AB=CD harmonic pattern and these both use Fibonacci numbers and ratios to produce a Potential Completion Zone target area.

    http://www.futuresmag.com/2016/11/29/trading-abc-patterns 

    "Markets demonstrate repetitive patterns where prices oscillate between one set of price ratios and another making price projections possible. Market trends can be defined by geometric relationships as they exhibit harmonic relationships between the price and time swings. Many investors/traders use cycles and harmonic relationships to project future swing price/times. These harmonic price movements produce symmetric rallies and declines to give traders an advantage to determine the key turning points. Symmetry is visible in all markets and in all time frames."

    "The key point in identifying an ABC and AB=CD patterns is to correctly detect the A, B and C key inflection (pivot) points in a chart while they are forming. These inflection points are determined by key swing highs and lows of various levels, and its correction waves to determine distinct swings. The potential C point is usually forecasted by the fibonacci retracements (0.38 to 0.618) of AB Swing. Once A, B and C points (and AB, BC legs) are identified, a projection algorithm is applied to compute the Potential Completion Zone (PCZ). This PCZ area is where ABC pattern is expected to complete and may signal continuation of its trend in the first trend direction (AB). Following the completion of BC leg, the projections of AB and BC legs (using Fibonacci ratios) are plotted (from C) to generate targets. The ABC pattern is traded in the trend direction of AB from C to D."

    The top pic is the Dow M15 chart with the auto ABC indicator which uses the horizontal level at B to give an entry as price passes through.

    The lower pics are of a method using 2 candles after the turn at C as the entry and a slop loss behind C and multiple Fib targets based on AB length.

    image.thumb.png.ff60326b4e29a35e506deeb0acb180ee.png

    image.png.4c9d12b325efdb110ff687e5e5f021cd.png

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  3. 16 hours ago, Guest stewy52 said:

    Hi

    First post on IG. Done a fair bit of research and currently using demo account. Sometimes finding that questions throw up more questions than answers. Trying to appreciate the relevance of technical analysis and want to fully buy in to this concept, compared with fundamentals. I guess that both play a part, however, if my understanding is correct and that markets are moved by institutional order flows rather than retail investors actions. Secondly, with the exeption perhaps of hedge funds, most institutional investors are investing on behalf of clients for the longer term using fundamentals and longer term prospects as a trigger to enter the market. So if it is these actions which move markets then why would price increase for example, because some indictators on a chart suggest that it will?

    Perhaps I don't understand and need to do more reading but any views / answers would be welcome. 

    Hi, yes it's the institutional players who move the markets, hedge funds, banks, pension funds. In the FX market for example all retail only makes up 3.5% of the total traded while the largest player is a bank (citi if memory serves) which does 13% and the top 10 players control over 75% of the total market.

    The fundamentals drive the market, dictate direction and final targets for the big moves while the chart techinicals determine how price gets there. Indicators on the other hand attempt to foresee technical patterns on the charts by using past data and may or may not prove to be correct which is why they should never be used in isolation.

    As a retail trader you won't have the resources to predict the fundamental drivers (just guessing doesn't work in the long run) so should instead look to 'go with the flow', learn to read chart behaviour, patterns and find 2 or three indicators that source data differently and that when they converge have a good (as seen by testing) predictive probability.

  4. FXPro have issued a warning that the new macOS Catalina update has a compatibility issue with MT4 and are advising not to install until a fix is issued.

     

    "The newest update for macOS – Catalina, introduced a compatibility issue that does not allow MetaTrader programs to function on the platform.

    We recommend our macOS-based users who wish to continue trading on their mac platform to postpone the update until a fix is available.

    In the meantime, affected users can continue to trade via MetaTrader Web. ((FXPro only not available with IG))

    All clients who run MetaTrader on Windows platform are not affected and can continue trading without concern."

  5. 3 minutes ago, JohnW said:

    does anyone know where to find free market profile charts

    yes, for the mt4 platform on the mql5.com web site but you should consider volume profile over market profile. Both are similar in that they look at levels traded so provide dynamic intraday support and resistance levels but MP shows time spent at levels whereas VP shows volume traded levels. MP was more relevant when markets opened and closed but now brokers cover 24 hr VP seems to be more popular.

    VP on left MP on right;

    image.thumb.png.8e357195abc4ddcffbaa2c088a3fa968.png

    • Like 1
  6. 26 minutes ago, 247trader said:

    very useful tool! would like advanced visualizations like this in the platform

    very useful and shows whats available via subscription services over and above your average broker platform. Can always go down the mt4 route where there are all sorts of interesting toys though not usually as professionally presented as this one in the vid.

    image.thumb.png.975f7d1325a6cad111505cd53cbfa469.png

    • Like 1
  7. 20 minutes ago, dietcoke999 said:

     

    Looking for some advice. I have money in an american trading account and i want to ensure that these dollars maintain the same pound value over time. i know i need to hedge the pound/dollar somehow. i took a long position in IG for pound/dollar but then realized the costs of keeping this open long term would cost a fortune in overnight fees. IG states to 'To avoid paying overnight funding you might want to open a trade on a future or a forward contract'. I have no idea what this means. Can Anyone  advise how i can achieve keeping my dollars the same in pounds.

    HI, you can bring up the forward chart for gbpusd by clicking on the small arrow next to the chart title (see pic) and selecting 'Forward' (aka Futures). They are designed for holding open for the longer term, the spread is larger than for the daily funded bet (DFB, aka Spot or Cash) but there are no overnight funding charges, note the spread is repaid at each 'roll over' at the end of the term (check settings in your my IG page for auto roll over).

    image.png.879b66f176003c2a7c786839b967bd1f.png

  8. Dax takes off early this morning after a strong day for Dax, Dow and ASX yesterday. Ftse sullen as GBP takes off on Boris deal rumours. Dax and Dow looking to work higher today.

    I see the APAC brief is back, always worth a look see as to the world scene overnight.

    Daily charts;

    image.thumb.png.44ffeac307dfd35d930b2b63c6647d1d.png

  9. Back to risk on as the trade talks circus rumbles on, yesterday saw Indices and Oil up, USD  Gold and Bonds down.

    Talk that Boris is on the verge of some kind of partial free trade deal with the EU.

    Draghi speaks at 10:30, Cad unemployment data at 1:30 and US consumer sentiment at 3pm.

    image.thumb.png.fb92fb210d97e303ee5b3672e1ccd8d1.png

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  10. Indices grind back up after the shock lol news no progress was made in the trade talks. Chinese politicians still demanding the right to thieve intellectual property at will because ... 'REASONS' and seem surprised a little bribery yesterday didn't work.

    So indices still positioned mid range and have begun the grind back towards the highs this morning, while general confidence may be low the US econ data remains strong so no reason not to. US CPI data latter today should hold no surprises.

    image.thumb.png.155976f14c1585f31515f5d79db5649b.png

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