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Top content from across the community, hand-picked by us.
Asian Markets Off 7-Month Peak - EMEA Brief 08 Apr
Guest JoeIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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JamesIG,A “Goldilocks” end to the week: APAC brief - 8 Arpil
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
Risk appetite climbs: Equities and other risk barometers were the major beneficiaries of the "goldilocks" US labour market data. Cyclicals performed well on Wall Street, as the S&P500 sustained its focused climb towards record-highs. Credit spreads narrowed too, as yield was sort out in fixed income markets. The VIX fell into the 12 handle, as fears of a sharp and imminent economic slow-down abated. And US Treasury yields remained quite steady, as the likelihood of a Fed rate cut before the end of 2019 were unwound slightly. The dynamic has led to a great deal of positivity across global equities to begin the new week, with futures markets ubiquitously in the green.
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MaxIG,"Flexible" Brexit proposed by Tusk - EMEA Brief 05 April
MichaelaIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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JamesIG,Positioning for the week’s climax - APAC brief 4 April
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
Stocks trade on low activity: With some crucial information promising to be revealed relating to these questions out of these events, financial markets in the last 24 hours have traded on a let’s wait and see mentality. Wall Street traded mixed: the S&P500 hovered in and out of “the green”, as the momentum in US tech stocks stalls. European equities, on balance, pulled back throughout the day, unaided by some weak German economic data. Asian trade was also lacklustre, with the Nikkei trading flat, the Hang Seng down, but Chinese indices generally clocking gains. Despite the mixture of results, the constant was generally a lack of volume in stock-markets, likely symptomatic of a market watching vigilantly for its next cue.
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MaxIG,Palladium is one of the most searched assets on the IG platform this week
JamesIG posted a topic in Commodities,
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JamesIG,Post in Indices
Caseynotes posted a post in a topic,
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JamesIG,A new Bitcoin April Short Squeeze- EMEA Brief 04 Apr
Guest IG-Andi posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,Growth fears ease; risk taking subdued - APAC brief 4 April
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
More good news than bad: It would be wrong to suggest it was a bad day for equity markets. More, that given some of the news in the market, and the cross-asset price action, a stronger move higher might have been expected. The macro-development that captured most attention was news of "new progress" in the US-China trade-war, that boosted hopes of a breakthrough in upcoming trade-negotiations in Washington. In a muted response, Wall Street has edged a trifle higher last night, with the S&P hovering around the 2870 mark. European indices performed a little better, following some strong Services PMI numbers, while Asian indices probably led the pack in the last 24-hours.
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MaxIG,Bitcoin rally pushes other digital currencies higher - EMEA Brief 03 Apr
Guest DanielaIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,The biggest day of the (economic) year - APAC brief - 3 Apr
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
But yesterday it did: the RBA delivered their monthly decision on Australian interest rates; and the Federal Government handed down its latest budget. The price action in financial markets has thus far been limited – though, granted, we wait for the ASX to open this morning to witness the stock market response to the budget. At least from a purely intellectual standpoint though, both events have given market-buffs enough to chew on, and potentially frame future trading opportunities.
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JamesIG,Golden Cross v Inverted Yield Curve
Caseynotes posted a topic in General Trading Strategy Discussion,
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JamesIG,Lyft Fails to Lift-off on Second Day of Trading - EMEA Brief 02 Apr
GeorgeIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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GeorgeIG,APAC brief 2 April
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
The story has changed (for now): It’s probably a part of that compulsion market participants have – pundits especially – to infer a trend from a tiny-bit of information. The justification is reasonable enough: most people understand the world through stories, rather than hard-data and analysis. To take a piece of information, infer a trend, and then tell a story with it is far more comprehensive (and saleable) than just enumerating some soul-less facts. It’s with this (partial) assumption in mind, the first day of the new week, month and quarter can be viewed. For all its intricacies, complexities and ambiguities, it was the most “risk-on” day we’ve seen in a short-while; and the hope is now that this is the beginning of a significant reversal in trend.
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MaxIG,Post in Indices
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JamesIG,Post in Brent Crude is following my roadmap
Mercury posted a post in a topic,
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JamesIG,China's Manufacturing PMI Beats Expectations - EMEA Brief 01 Apr
Guest JoeIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,Trade Talks Restart - EMEA Brief 29 Mar
Guest JoeIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,APAC brief - 21 Mar
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
It’s been the speed, not the direction: The shocking part of the bond market rally – and let’s recall, for the many folk out there who aren’t bond-market buffs, that when bond prices rally, bond yields ¬fall – is not that it is necessarily happening at all. Instead, it is a matter of how quickly it is all happening, and what this rapid shift in momentum means all-in-all. The more benign reasoning is that it’s a basic repositioning, accelerated by technical factors, in response to the dovish turn central bankers have adopted lately across the globe. The direr interpretation, however, was that the swift shift in bond pricing signalled a market pricing in a major economic slow-down, maybe even a recession, in the global economy.
Markets getting ahead of themselves: Both narratives are interrelated and true to some extent. Interest rates expectations have been sliced-down very quickly recently, courtesy of course, to a marked deterioration in global economic growth conditions. But these things take time: hence, the move in bonds seem disproportionate. This isn’t an invitation to rejoice, by any means. Risks in the long term to the global economic outlook are ample, especially as it relates to Chinese and European growth. But to throw in the towel now on global macro-economic outlook would be premature, and potentially wasteful: the actions of central banks are skewing risk-reward in favour of the risk takers, meaning taking a long bias on certain equity indices ought not to be discounted.
The risk-reward balance: A skerrick of this view manifested in market activity last night. Wall Street is up and trending higher, just on an intraday basis, into the close. Most certainly, the fall in bond yields, driven by the prospect of looser monetary policy across the globe, is attracting flows into stocks. It's a continuation of the perennial battle in financial markets: the desire to take risk when financial conditions dictate its attractive to do so, versus the desire to preserve capital when the economic growth environment is degrading. Policy makers are fighting hard to engender a confidence that the former can be trusted and will lead to an improvement in the latter.
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MaxIG,Turkish lira - surge in swap rates & the impact for overnight funding
JamesIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
Please ensure that you are happy with your positions in TRY going into 10pm GMT, and please remember that swap points are unstable.
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JamesIG,Capital Drilling Ltd - small cap mining - chairman interview
JamesIG posted a topic in Shares and ETFs,
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JamesIG,The Turkish lira squeeze - EMEA Brief 28 Mar
Guest IG-Andi posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,APAC brief 28 Mar
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
Asia set for mixed trade again: Wall Street’s lead is manifesting as a mixed-picture for Asian markets today, according to futures. Provided this materializes, it will be an extension of the region’s equities own theme. Yesterday’s trade was tepid for Asia too, resulting in an ultimately flat day for the ASX200, a solid day for Chinese and Hong Kong markets, and soft day for the Nikkei. As it presently trades, SPI Futures are suggesting that the ASX200 will open slightly lower this morning, if not flat; as will the Hang Seng and Nikkei; but the CSI300 ought to open a touch higher – though this is based on a future’s price that reflects price action from yesterday evening’s trade.
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MaxIG,EU announces new copyright laws that could affect tech giants - EMEA Brief 27 March
Guest DanielaIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
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Guest,APAC brief - 27 Mar
MaxIG posted a blog entry in Market News,
Very little “new” news: There weren’t any such stories out last night. Outside the echoes of last week’s dovish Fed-tilt, European growth concerns, and talk of inverted yield curves, voices portending doom in financial markets were apparently much quieter. Ever the experts in hindsight, the collective wisdom of market participants seemed more interested in rationalizing away their previously held fears. This could be justified, and at that, telling in and of itself: traders are searching for reason to keep taking risks, and maintaining a bullish temperament. It certainly showed; not just in equities, but other asset classes. Bond yields climbed, at least momentarily ending their rout, and growth-proxy currencies lifted as currency traders sold-out of the popular safe havens.
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