Important European Central Bank Rate Decisions
As we find distraction in trade wars and political risk, it is important to remember that we are still dealing with more traditional fundamental issues in the background. One of the most systemically important and extremely underpriced risks is the global market’s long-standing dependency on massive stimulus from the world’s largest central banks. That wave of easy money through massive rate cuts and largest stimulus programs has noticeably rec
The Asia equity market ex-Japan are looking at their lowest levels since July last year.
Tech sector as a whole was hit by a drop in chip stocks yesterday as well as a knock to social media.
Investors are cautious that new U.S. tariffs on China could come into play at any time.
Yen and Swiss franc are looking to be bid up for those looking at safe harbours.
Non-farm payrolls are out later today.
Asian overnight: Yet again trade concerns weighed on Asian markets,
The Asian market index futures boards are seeing a sea of red on the back of continued EM anxieties.
Dollar seeing pressure as European peers are bid up.
Tesla stock slips as investor worries deepen, whilst the Tesla bond hits a record low.
Uber on track for an IPO in 2019, however there are no plans to sell it's tech unit according to CEO.
Goldman have dropped bitcoin trading plans for now according to reports. Crypto space crashes.
Gold seeing an increase in
The pain in emerging markets continues to be too difficult to ignore, although it must be said that the effects of the crisis were relatively contained in overnight trade. There is this sneaking suspicion in markets presently, that whatever the worst outcome is for emerging markets, some of that must inevitably spill into the developed world. The issue is however, it remains to be seen how and where these signs of contagion may first show-up. Now of course it may not do so at all, but as the sco
Stocks have fallen whilst the dollar remains effected on trade tensions and tariff wars. The AUD has given up gains on GDP data.
Despite being the most shorted stock on Wall Street (even ahead of Tesla), Amazon pipped the $1 trillion valuation briefly yesterday as it surpassed the $2,050.27 a share requirement.
Its expected that there will be no change in the FTSE 100 for the first time in 12 years today with no individual constituents being upgraded or downgraded.
The Briti
Market stress: The world economy and financial markets are displaying further signs of duress as traders enter the mid-part of the week. Trade War fears hang over markets like a darkening cloud, and emerging markets are wobbling and appear on the verge of a greater crisis. Of the two prevailing concerns, the problems within emerging market economies is slowly taking greatest attention. The South African economy looks to be slipping into recession and Argentinian policy makers are scrambling rega
Asian stocks were mixed yesterday with no lead from US session and continued concerns over trade tensions.
Argentina announces new fiscal policy, while Turkey's central bank hints towards a rate hike.
WTI trades higher as two rigs off the Gulf of Mexico are evacuated ahead of hurricane.
Brent loses ground as India allows state refiners to import Iranian oil.
RBA holds rates steady at 1.5%.
Asian overnight: A mixed session overnight has seen substantial gains in
Soft start to the week: The weak lead from Wall Street combined with US Labor Day holiday kept trading within financial markets soft and subdued overnight. The return of trade war concerns following the disintegration of talks between the US and Canada weighed heavily on markets in the Asian region, with the Nikkei, Hang Seng and the major Chinese indices sustaining considerable losses. It places traders in a starkly different position compared to last week when it was hope that perhaps US Presi
Asian markets were largely negative, dropping for a 3rd consecutive session on further trade escalation
US - Canada trade talks knocked as Trump threatens to quit NAFTA altogether
US markets closed for Labor Day
Oil prices dipped lower on Monday on the back of rising supply from OPEC and the U.S
Asian overnight: The two main rounds of negotiation on Friday have come back to bite markets at the start of this week, with the breakdown in US-Canada trade talks and UK-EU Br
Trade negotiations: Global markets ended last week on the back foot, after trade talks between the US and Canada stripped traders of some hope that the global trade-war may be de-escalating. It was figured that following the relatively positive developments in US-Mexico trade negotiations early last week that perhaps a change of tact was emerging from US President Trump’s administration regarding global trade. Hopes were quashed upon news that negotiations between the US and Canada had broken do
A Habit of Cutting Down Progress Towards Ending Trade Wars
This past week, optimism was dangled in front of the markets and violently snatched away before it became too established. We have been dealing with the escalation of explicit competition in trade policies for the since March, and each hint of progress in turning the major players back from economic stalemate has been consummately dashed. This past week, there were two fronts on which it seemed we were heading for an important brea
Expected index adjustments
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 03 Sep 2018. If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect your positions, please take a look at the video.
NB: All dividend adjustments are forecasts and therefore speculative. A dividend adjustment is a cash neutral a
Trump back introduction of tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods in ongoing trade dispute with China
US president also threatens to withdraw the United States from the World Trade Organisation "if they don't shape up", claiming unfair treatment
US & Canadian leaders optimistic in reaching revised NAFTA agreement by today's deadline
Panasonic are set to move their European base outside of London to mitigate risk going into Brexit
Argentinian government rai
The risks that markets have been vulnerable to all week have popped-up in the last twenty-four hours, wiping some of the shine off what has been an otherwise strong performance from global equities. The elephants in the room throughout the week’s trade has been the US-China trade-war, along with the simmering structural problems affecting emerging markets – developments in which had been conspicuously absent. Trade tensions were reinflamed during yesterday’s Asian session and then again overnigh
Asia stocks pull back as weakness in China outweighs NAFTA trade
U.S. - Canada trade talks are making progress
Dollar drops, whilst the pound is trading at a four-week high
Extend overnight rally by oil prices
German and Spanish inflation stabilization in August with economists estimating a rate of 2.1% for Germany and 2.3% for Spain
Brexit talks remain deadlocked
Asian overnight: A largely bearish session overnight has seen losses across China, Austral
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both set new records, passing the 2900 and 8000 mark respectively for the first time in their history.
Focus shifts on talks between the US and Canada on an updated NAFTA, which could be signed in the coming days.
Canada’s Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland is now in Washington to carry out negotiations.
The previously announced deadline for Brexit talks set for the 18th of October may not be feasible, as rumors spread that it may now be postpone
Trade tensions: The announcement of a bilateral trade agreement between the US and Mexico was the predominant story yesterday, as US President Trump brought the world back one step from the protectionist cliff. Global bonds declined consequently, led by US treasuries, with the yields on benchmark 10 Year US Treasuries rallying to 2.88%. The optimism was tempered throughout the day as the details of the trade-deal were digested however, moderating the news’ effect on markets. It appears now – 24
Trump and Mexico reach trade to key parts of a trade deal to replace the current ‘NAFTA’ agreement.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs for the second consecutive session. Dow finished above 26000 for the first time since February.
Turkish lira sees a fresh sell off after a week long national holiday as investors don’t see an end to the US row.
Netflix sees the appointment of a new communications officer, previously top executive to Facebook.
Statement issu
Sentiment and Wall Street: Risk appetite appears to be slowly returning to the bellies of investors, with global equity markets experiencing a synchronized push higher to start the week. Wall Street has led the charge of course, overnight adding to the all-time highs achieved at the end of last week. The S&P500 posted a remarkable gain of 0.72 per cent as that index entered rarefied air, while the Dow Jones added 1 per cent to crack the 26,000-mark once more. Trade wars and emerging market t
Add Political Risks to Our Long List of Market Concerns
It isn’t like we are lacking for fundamental motivation for the global financial markets. If anything, there is a surplus of critical themes that could – if properly induced – could single-handedly turn the universal tide. Nevertheless, it seems we will have to add another principal concern to our list alongside trade wars and the transition away from emergency monetary policy: political risk. This is not an unfamiliar market concern.
Powell in Jackson Hole: Markets ended last week with all attention on US Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. Following weeks of scrutiny from the US President Trump, particularly as it relates to the Fed’s gradual rate hiking cycle and its effects on the US Dollar, investors sat poised for insights into whether the political heat, along with growing global financial risks would derail the bank’s plans. On balance, the speech delivered by Chairperson
Expected index adjustments
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 27 Aug 2018. If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect your positions, please take a look at the video.
NB: All dividend adjustments are forecasts and therefore speculative. A dividend adjustment is a cash neutral a
Australian equity markets gain after leadership vote ends political uncertainty with the Australian leader Malcolm Turnbull ousted by Scott Morrison.
Hang Seng equity market slips after US-China trade talks end without progress.
Saudi Arabia has denied that its $2 trillion Aramco IPO has been cancelled, and that they’re instead waiting for “appropriate circumstances and appropriate time” for the listing.
Trade concerns continue to hit gold prices however they do make gains,
Global markets: Global equities retreated overnight as investors turned their attention to the several risk factors affecting markets at present. The Dow Jones, S&P500 and NASDAQ are all lower for the day, backing-up the modest losses sustained in European shares. The risk aversion is justifiable and reflects the general confusion of investors in a week bereft of powerful good news stories. The focus instead has been on the several distractions bemusing markets, including the unfolding Presi
China trade war escalates as new tariffs kick in: U.S. economy set to slow from here on, damaged by trade war
EM ASIA FX soften as dollar recovers after falling for six straight sessions
Wall Street sets record for longest bull run in history; Key S&P 500 index passes landmark as it goes 3,453 days without major correction
Brexit contingency plan papers released; Brexit could be good news for Britain's farmers
Australian dollar drops as three government ministers
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