BRENT CRUDE OIL AFTER OPEC+ MEETING:
Brent crude oil’s sharp sell-off and recovery after OPEC+ stick with January plan but reserve the right to alter the decision.
Oil recovers from sharp sell-off as key long-term trendline remains intact.
IG Client Sentiment ‘mixed’ once more despite even larger net long positioning than previously.
OPEC+ LEAVES JANUARY OUTPUT PLANS UNCHANGED BUT REMAINS FLEXIBLE TO OMICRON-RELATED SHOCKS
Yesterday the Organization of
LONDON — European markets moved higher on Friday, looking for a positive end to a tumultuous week following the discovery of the new omicron Covid-19 variant.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 added 0.5% in early trade, with travel and leisure stocks bouncing 2% on easing omicron fears as almost all sectors and major bourses entered positive territory.
European stocks are looking to rebound from Thursday’s pullback, which saw the Stoxx 600 fall 1.1% and tech sector on the continent drop
DOW, NASDAQ 100, S&P 500, DOLLAR AND NFPS TALKING POINTS:
Following Wednesday’s broad risk tumble, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq put in for a stiff bounce this past session.
Volatility is the dangerous undercurrent that persists, so a steady course through the final day of trade this week could go far towards restoring ‘seasonal’ norms.
Top event risk from a headlines perspective Friday is the November NFPs, but I place greater weight on the ISM services update as the y
The US jobs report looks set for a strong November, with elevated ISM manufacturing and ADP payrolls surveys hinting at another positive month.
Source: Bloomberg
Indices Unemployment Employment United States Monetary policy Federal Reserve
EUR/USD TALKING POINTS:
EUR/USD calmer ahead of US NFP data and Euro sentiment data next week.
The currency pair looks to test key resistance (prior support).
IG Client Sentiment ‘mixed’ despite significant net long positioning.
EUR/USD AHEAD OF NON-FARM PAYROLLS AND EURO SENTIMENT SURVEY DATA
The Euro received a much needed bounce last Friday as global financial markets wrestled with news of a new coronavirus variant which we have now come to know as
Turkish Lira Analysis and News:
Unorthodox Monetary Policy View to See TRY Remain in a Downward Spiral.
Turkish Lira Implied Volatility Highest Since 2018 Currency Crisis.
Spain Most Exposed to Turkish Lira Weakness.
The Turkish Lira continues to garner interest with the currency’s downward spiral showing very little signs of slowing. This is despite attempts by the Turkish Central Bank to contain weakness via interventions as seen during yesterday's session. Howeve
GBP/USD price, news and analysis:
GBP/USD weakness looks set to continue as the financial markets remain jittery after news that the first case of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 in the US has been found, suggesting it is still spreading.
A hawkish Federal Reserve chair, who has reiterated that a faster taper of US stimulus than previously expected is now on the cards, is not helping either.
GBP/USD weakness may persist
GBP/USD is continuing to slip back within a d
The Omicron variant saw the FTSE 100 sink 3.6% last Friday. After rallying this week, SAGE and Moderna are sounding the alarm. Could Prime Minister Boris Johnson be forced to cancel Christmas once more?
Source: Bloomberg
Indices FTSE 100 Christmas Investor Volatility Stock market index
U.S. INDICES TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:
S&P 500 rolling over towards old high, support.
Dow Jones about to test the 200-day moving average.
Dow Jones weaker, may test prior summer record high.
DOW JONES TO TEST 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE: US INDICES TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
The S&P 500 is declining towards the prior record high notched in September at 4545. This will be an interesting test as there have been other times (highlighted in blue) where the market declined t
GBP/USD PRICE, CHART, AND ANALYSIS
Fed chair Jerome Powell rattled GBP/USD lower on Tuesday.
A pattern of lower highs and lower lows remains in place.
Keep up to date with all market-moving data releases and events by using the DailyFX Calendar
Fed chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish commentary on Tuesday sent GBP/USD tumbling below 1.3200 in a matter of minutes before buyers re-entered the market and negated the selling pressure. Chair Powell said that the Fed would aba
S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, DOW, COVID AND DOLLAR TALKING POINTS:
The S&P 500 has carved out an aggressive head-and-shoulders reversal pattern, but is this artificially shaped by month-end activity?
Fed Chairman Powell is warning the markets that the FOMC may very well accelerate its tightening time table in two weeks.
As we wade through capital flows, monetary policy speculation and growth updates; I remain concerned about the ‘signal’ from the Dow.
RISK AV
MetaTrader 4 help: Charts Customization
Setup
Appearance and properties of each chart in the terminal can be set up individually. To do so, one has to execute the "Charts – Properties..." menu command, the chart context menu command of the same name, or press F8. These actions result in appearing of the "Properties" window that can be used for setting of the color of various elements of the chart (the "Colors") tab:
Background – chart background color;
For
Australia's Reserve Bank is continuing with quantitative easing and rock-bottom interest rates, while New Zealand is tightening up fiscal policy. With house prices skyrocketing in both countries, what could happen to AUD/NZD?
Source: Bloomberg
Forex Inflation Australian dollar Australi
EUR/GBP PRICE, NEWS AND ANALYSIS:
EUR/GBP will likely slip back after its rally over the past few days as the Euro was boosted by concerns about the Omicron variant of Covid-19 and whether existing vaccines will be effective against it.
Meanwhile, a reshuffle of the UK Labour Party’s shadow Cabinet should have little impact on GBP even though opinion polls show Labour neck-and-neck with the ruling Conservatives.
EUR/GBP RALLY AT RISK AS OMICRON FEARS RECEDE
The strong
CRUDE OIL, WTI, AUD/USD, CHINA PMI, MSCI, NIKKEI 225 - TALKING POINTS:
Crude oil prices tanked as risk-off sentiment resumed in Asia today.
APAC equities were doing ok until a report questioned the efficacy of vaccines.
OPEC+ could be a non-event on Thursday now. Will crude continue lower?
WTI crude oil went toward US$ 67 a barrel in the afternoon session after the Financial Times (FT) reported the CEO of Moderna saying that vaccines are likely to struggle to protec
S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, DOW, COVID AND DOLLAR TALKING POINTS
The S&P 500 led ‘risk assets’ on a broad slump in sentiment this past Friday which found fundamental blame in news of the Omicron Covid variant
Markets made a bid to recovery this past session, but the Dow and the DAX didn’t seem to muster the same enthusiasm as speculative favorites like the SPX and Nasdaq
A full recovery in risk trends is almost assumed given seasonal conditions and post-Covid momentum, but t
Powell’s reaction could bring renewed volatility for the dollar which has lost ground on a potential shift in Fed outlook.
Source: Bloomberg
Joshua Mahony | Senior Market Analyst, London | Publication date: Monday 29 November 2021
The Ocado share price has risen 6% since Friday, as news of the Omicron variant caused the FTSE 100 to fall nearly 4%. Ocado shareholders could see their investment surge if lockdowns are reintroduced.
Source: Bloomberg
Indices Shares Ocado Group Marks & Spencer Revenue Investor
RAND ANALYSIS:
Rand market frenzy fades as market mulls over new variant.
Commodities revised lower as uncertainty emerges.
Bearish harami suggests short-term USD/ZAR downside correction.
ZAR FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP
RAND IS NOW ONE OF THE WORST PERFORMING CURRENCIES AGAINST THE GREENBACK
The South African rand may have been the worst affected Emerging Market (EM) currency as a result of the new COVID-19 strain known as Omicron. Inaccurate news
RAND (USD/ZAR) ANALYSIS:
UK place SA on its red list in attempt to curb the spread of a new coronavirus variant.
World Health Organization set to meet to discuss studies of the variant and assess severity.
USD/ZAR perfect storm: Dollar finds safe-haven appeal, Ems on backfoot, variant detected in South Africa.
NEW COVID VARIANT WITH HIGH NUMBER OF MUTATIONS HAS THE MARKET ON EDGE
South African scientists announced on Thursday the detection of a new coronavirus
In this article we look at what the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator currently suggests about the prices and outlook for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil.
Source: Bloomberg
Shaun Murison | Senior Market Analyst, Johannesburg | Publication date: Friday 26 Novembe
European stock markets are expected to open sharply lower Friday on concerns a new Covid variant will prompt fresh mobility restrictions, hindering the region’s economic recovery.
At 2:05 AM ET (0705 GMT), the DAX futures contract in Germany traded 2.3% lower, CAC 40 futures in France dropped 2.6% and the FTSE 100 futures contract in the U.K. fell 2.3%.
Virus cases have soared in Europe in the last month, with a number of countries introducing stricter Covid measures. But a degr