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Dax & Dow


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4 hours ago, tehka said:

A bearish engulfing pattern appears on Dow daily chart and have bounced off 20EMA. 

Yes, I saw that falling away last night but trying to recover since, await the London open with interest, so far Dax and Dow have recovered half of yesterday's losses.

H1 charts;

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This latest pullback isn't even as bad as May's ...

Notice, the person who bought and held a DJIA-tracking fund or such-like at the start of the year is quid's in ... traders trying to 'profit' from volatility are losing money hand over fist and contemplating hanging themselves.

Is 'trading' a mug's game?

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22 minutes ago, dmedin said:

Notice, the person who bought and held a DJIA-tracking fund or such-like at the start of the year is quid's in ... traders trying to 'profit' from volatility are losing money hand over fist and contemplating hanging themselves.

Is 'trading' a mug's game?

That is correct, S&P is up around 17% this year but that is conveniently leaving out the December drop. 

Volatility just means price is moving which is good, the Dax today moved down 140 points then back up 140 points which is good if you are day trading, obviously not so good if you are trading longer term, it's all swings and round abouts.

Yes Trump is using the strong economy to put pressure on China to adhere to international rules, why bother?

Look here's a great new Chinese car but I think I've seen this one before as well, pity the suckers who got ripped off, tough... oh wait, it's us.

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23 minutes ago, Caseynotes said:

the Dax today moved down 140 points then back up 140 points which is good if you are day trading

 

In theory.

The (historical) benefits of buy and hold are documented and quantifiable and the information is available to all.

Day trading is like professional poker - a way to separate gullible mugs from their excess cash.

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51 minutes ago, dmedin said:

 

In theory.

The (historical) benefits of buy and hold are documented and quantifiable and the information is available to all.

Day trading is like professional poker - a way to separate gullible mugs from their excess cash.

I've been here years, when I started it was with the understanding 90% lost 90% of their account within 90 days and knowing most would give up and knowing most would blow at least several accounts in the learning process if they didn't just give up, so what.

Most come into this as if they are walking into a casino, they do a little homework (learn how to play blackjack), maybe they'll get lucky but really they won't. 

 

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Both starting above the pivot, as it's relatively close most likely to see a retest and if it holds will be expecting continuation upward but likely to tapper off as we close in on the US GDP data release at 1:30.

Algos read and react to the headline figures first, very hard to catch that but as with most releases there is a lot more than just the headline figure which is why there is can be a 30 minute period of whip sawing while the new data is digested until price finally settles down and marches off to a new level, that's what you should be looking for

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Interesting start today, both in sync and well above the pivot, still likely to test support before attempting continuation upward but would expect to find support higher than the pivot and possibly at the orange daily chart resistance levels. No big news today but there may well be caution as it's week and month end and going into a US bank holiday Monday.

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On 28/08/2019 at 19:28, Caseynotes said:

 

I've been here years, when I started it was with the understanding 90% lost 90% of their account within 90 days and knowing most would give up and knowing most would blow at least several accounts in the learning process if they didn't just give up, so what.

Most come into this as if they are walking into a casino, they do a little homework (learn how to play blackjack), maybe they'll get lucky but really they won't. 

 

 

That attitude is encouraged by IG with its 'academy'.  An 'academy' that doesn't even cover half of technical analysis (no mention of volume or Fibos) never mind regression to the mean, normal distributions, standard deviations, diversification, Elliot Wave and all the other stuff.  Why study hard for a career as a financial analyst unless you're going for a job in that industry?  Who would be stupid enough to trade off their own account when even the best-educated, most-experienced money managers frequently lose?

Edited by dmedin
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2 minutes ago, dmedin said:

An 'academy' that doesn't even cover half of technical analysis (no mention of volume or Fibos) never mind regression to the mean, normal distributions, standard deviations, diversification, Elliot Wave and all the other stuff. 

Is any of this stuff actually important?

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