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GBP/USD Faces First Real Test Ahead of US CPI Data
GBP/USD TALKING POINTS AND ANALYSIS:
UK PM Boris Johnson under pressure amid reports of more lockdown parties.
US CPI, Fed speeches and UK GDP form part of major risk events this week.
GBP/USD bull run coming under threat ahead of red hot US inflation data print.
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Dollar Seeks Its Break as the S&P 500 Reverse Hard on Support
The week opened to the momentum of Friday’s selloff for US equities with a QQQ bearish gap through support leading the way.
By Monday’s close / Tuesday’s open, US equities fully reversed course with the SPY S&P 500 ETF posting a technically-clean reversal from channel support.
For market motivation through the coming 24-48 hours, the focus intensifies on US monetary policy with hawkish Fed speakers, Powell testimony and US CPI ahead.
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As bond interest rates soar what's the outlook for 2022?
It feels like it was just yesterday people were worried about US Treasury rates staying at 0% forever… while it wasn’t yesterday, it was as recent as summer of last year that short-term interest rates were as close as they’ve ever been to negative.*

Now, the likelihood of multiple hikes to the Federal Funds Rate by the end of this year has people wondering just how big the chain reaction across the Treasury yield curve can be.
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A Guide to Trading Psychology
The psychology of trading is often overlooked but forms a crucial part of a professional trader’s skillset. DailyFX is the perfect place to learn how to manage your emotions and hone your trading psychology; our analysts have already experienced the ups and downs, so you don’t have to.
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Rise in yields provides boost for JPMorgan
Rising yields should help boost bank profitability, although JPMorgan’s stock price has struggled lately.

Source: Bloomberg
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Weekly Fundamental US Stocks Forecast: Inflation Data in Focus After FOMC Minutes, NFP
FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR THE US DOLLAR: NEUTRAL
While the DXY Index added +0.07%, most of its gains were given back by the end of the week following the middling December US jobs report.
Not only are there several ‘high’ ranked data releases due in the coming days, there are testimonies and speeches by several Federal Reserve policymakers that seem destined to introduce more volatility to financial markets.
According to the IG Client Sentiment Index, the US Dollar has a mixed bias heading into mid-January.
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British Pound Outlook: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY Technical Forecast
UK BRITISH POUND TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH
GBP/USD bulls aim to break above the key psychological level of 1.36 despite a hawkish Fed.
EUR/GBP falls to critical support at the lower bound of the descending triangle formation.
GBP/JPY eager to break above October highs in an effort to claim 160.
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Using Margin in Forex Trading
Using margin in forex trading is a new concept for many traders, and one that is often misunderstood. To put simply, margin is the minimum amount of money required to place a leveraged trade and can be a useful risk management tool.
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The Week Ahead On The Markets
US earnings season begins this week, with banks JPMorgan and Citigroup heading up the quarterly parade of earnings updates from the US. This helps to alleviate a slightly dull week on the economic front, although CPI from the world’s two largest economies will be closely-watched given the Fed’s hawkish turn last week in the minutes of its December meeting.
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Dividend Adjustments 10th January 2022 - 17th January 2022
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 7th January 2022. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made.
Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day. 

If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect  your positions, please take a look at the video.
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Boeing: Ready for Takeoff or Turbulence Ahead?
The first two trading days of 2022 were kind to both the airlines and Boeing (BA). This New Year rally comes after an understandably difficult two years in the commercial aviation sector. While Boeing and the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) are far off their 2020 lows, they have a long road of recovery still ahead. Since the start of 2020, Boeing and JETS are facing negative returns in excess of 30%. For comparison, the S&P 500 is up over 40% in the same time frame.
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Monthly Forex Seasonality - January 2022: Start of Year Bodes Well for AUD, GBP, Gold
JANUARY FX SEASONALITY OVERVIEW:
The first month of the year tends to see gains for commodities and commodity-linked currencies.
January is the best month of the year for gold prices in recent history.
Typical losses by the US Dollar tend to bode well for Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand Dollars.
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Morning Star Candlestick
The Morning Star candlestick is a three-candle pattern that signals a reversal in the market and can be used when trading forex or any other market. Correctly spotting reversals is crucial when trading financial markets because it allows traders to enter at attractive levels at the very start of a possible trend reversal.
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Post in What are your predictions for non-farm payrolls?
SUMMARY: Nonfarm payrolls is an employment report released monthly, usually on the first Friday of every month, and heavily affects the US dollar, the bond market and the stock market. Current Employment Statistics (CES) program from the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites, in order to provide detailed industry data on employment, hours, and earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls.
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Using the Rising Wedge Pattern in Forex Trading
The rising wedge is a popular reversal pattern that is predictive in nature and can give traders a clue to the direction and distance of the next price move. Rising wedges appear regularly in the financial markets and traders gravitate towards the pattern because of its simplicity in identification and application. This article will explain how to spot a rising wedge on forex charts and how to trade them.
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British Pound Bucks US Dollar Strength as FOMC Rattles Markets. Will GBP/USD Rally?
BRITISH POUND, GBP/USD, US DOLLAR, FED, FOMC, TREASURIES - TALKING POINTS
The British Pound held firm against a hawkish Fed lifting USD
Higher yields hit tech stocks in the FOMC meeting minutes aftermath
Sterling could be gaining momentum. Will GBP/USD break higher?
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Watch out for a potential short-term reversal in Apple
Watch out for a potential short-term reversal in Apple

Apple stock is at risk of a short-term reversal, even as the company becomes the first to reach a $3 trillion stock market valuation.
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British Pound Latest: GBP/USD Rally Continues, US Dollar Risks Lie Ahead
GBP/USD Price, Chart, and Analysis:
Cable nears a fresh two-month high.
US Jobs Report the standout dollar risk.
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What Are the Biggest Political Risks for the Stock Market in 2022?
US DOLLAR, US-CHINA TRADE WAR, TAIWAN, IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL, - TALKING POINTS:
COVID-19, rising interest rates likely to magnify shocks of geopolitical risks.
US-China tension and the upcoming US midterm elections are top of the list.
Iran nuclear deal, precarious fundamentals could amplify market turbulence.
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Lagging Indicators Defined and Explained
Lagging indicators are often misunderstood in their foundations however, they are a great way to analyse financial markets. This article will outline:
What lagging indicators are
Examples of lagging indicators
Benefits of lagging indicators
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US Dollar outlook for 2022
The below commentary highlights some of the key factors affecting US monetary policy which should in turn dictate future price movements for the US dollar.
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The Week Ahead On The Markets
The first week of the new year begins quietly, but it rapidly heats up. Key data such as China PMI figures and US ISM numbers are matched by the monthly US ADP and NFP reports, as the focus on the global economy and inflation returns. Corporate news remains quiet, although UK retail giant Next is the first of the sector to provide an update on the all-important Christmas trading period. Video
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10 Trading Mistakes to Avoid in Forex Trading
Human error in the forex market is common and often leads to familiar trading mistakes. These trading mistakes crop up particularly with novice traders on a regular basis. Being aware of these errors, can help traders become more efficient in their forex trading. Although all traders make trading mistakes regardless of experience, understanding the logic behind these mistakes may limit the snowball effect of trading impediments. This article will outline the top ten trading mistakes and ways to overcome them. These mistakes are part of a constant learning process whereby traders need habitually familiarise themselves with them to avoid repeat wrongdoings.
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Start investing in shares with IG in 2022
As inflation surges, many more savers are beginning to see the value in investing their money for better returns. And getting started with IG is easier than ever.
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Dividend Adjustments 3rd January 2022 - 10th January 2022
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 3rd January 2022. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made.
Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day. 

If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect  your positions, please take a look at the video.

 


NB: All dividend adjustments are forecasts and therefore speculative.
A dividend adjustment is a cash neutral adjustment on your account.

 

Special Dividends:

 

Index

Bloomberg Code

Effective Date

Summary

Dividend Amount

RTY

ZYXI US

5/01/2022

Special Div

0.1

RTY

THFF US

6/01/2022

Special Div

0.53

RTY

WSBF US

7/01/2022

Special Div

0.5

 

 

How do dividend adjustments work? 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
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