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Bonds and Gold down, Oil up, Western indices up, Asian indices down, BTC chasing yesterday's high. Euro up, Dollar basket down;

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BTC nearing yesterday's high, bonds, Gold and commods red, indices and FX fairly flat.

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Euro & Gold up. USD & Oil down. Indices flat, Cryptos down. Chart of the day is Facebook.

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Indices, USD and Bonds up, Euro and Oil down, Cryptos down, Gold up. 

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@JamesIG, there appears to be a false spike turned up on the Facebook live daily chart (in pic), not there on the lower time frames.

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2 hours ago, Caseynotes said:

 

@JamesIG, there appears to be a false spike turned up on the Facebook live daily chart (in pic), not there on the lower time frames.

will investigate - thanks 

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Oil and indices up, bonds down. Euro down, USD up, gold steady. Chart of the day Nvidia up 6%.

FOMC day.

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Mostly blue except USD after FOMC, the biggest laugh came when Powell said he wasn't expecting a rate cut til 2020, the expectancy of a cut in July immediately jumped from 80% to 87% and was 100% within the hour. 

Chart of the day is China 300 up 3%.

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Remains mostly blue except for USD and Cryptos turning red except BTC. US Oil up 3.5% chart.

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Turning red except Gold and Crypto. Chart this morning is Ether pushing hard on resistance.

PMIs today, Ger and EU this morning, US this afternoon.

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At the US close indices pulling back for the weekend, oil and gold up, euro up, usd down, cryptos up. ether the star up over 8%.

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Cryptos heading down, oil and gold up, Euro up USD down, indices mixed, bonds up. Chart AUDUSD looks for resistance.

German business climate data at 9:00am.

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Indices dragging, bonds up, Euro up USD down, cryptos down except Neo up over 5% chart.

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Bonds up indices down, cryptos up fx mixed, oil down gold up. Chins 300 down 1.6% chart,

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Econ cal, OPEC meeting all day, US consumer confidence at 3pm.

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Indices down USD up, Bonds and Gold down Oil up, Cryptos up, BTC up 12% chart.

German consumer conf 7:00am. UK inflation report 10:15am. US durable goods today 1:30pm.

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Indices up Bonds down, Cryptos pulling back Oil and Gold down. Nvidia up 6% chart.

US GDP 1:30pm.

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USD up Bonds down, Indices mixed Oil down. Crytpo mixed Gold up chart.

UK GDP, EU CPI, US personal spending. CAD GDP.

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After the G20 a shift towards risk on. Indices and Oil up, Gold and Bonds down. Cryptos down, Chart Gold.

Today's Econ Calendar; OPEC mtg, China, German and US PMI's.

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USD and Oil down, Bonds bounce back, Indices mixed, Crypto down, BTC breaks down through 10,000 chart.

US and GERMAN PMIs.

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Gold stopped at prior high 1440, Oil caught at 56. Asian indices down, Bonds up Crypto up.

EU, UK and US PMIs and the ADP nfp this afternoon has had a good run recently at forewarning of Friday's NFP numbers, 140k expected.

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Oil and Bonds down Gold up, Indices up BTC up, Chicago Wheat up 2.2% on bounce - chart.

US bank holiday, EU retail sales.

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"...an inverting yield curve and weak June manufacturing data across the globe have divided analysts on whether or not a pullback is due. DWS forecasts a “moderate cooling of economic activity”, but JPMorgan sees an 8% upside to the S&P 500 if a trade deal is agreed with China."

 

knowing trump all this rhetoric is just hot air.

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USD Gold up Asian markets up Bonds up, Oil flat Crytos down, BTC down 4.5% chart.

US NFP today 1:30pm 160k expected, Wednesday's ADP nfp saw a miss, 102k vs 140 expected.

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Indices down Bonds up, USD down Crypto down oil flat gold up, chart China 300 down 2.5%.

Quiet week on the calendar, German manu production figures today.

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Indices down USD flat, Oil down Bonds flat Cryptos up chart BTC 12717

Lots of Fed speak today.

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Indices and Oil up, Bonds and Gold down, USD down Cryptos up, chart BTC 13020.

UK GDP 9:30am, FOMC minutes from the last meeting 7pm.

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    • With the breakout of GBPUSD (would like to see a daily close above support there and ideally a breakout through the daily channel line) and EURUSD making up its mind about whether to breakout or not I look at the third pair in the Triad for clues.  My thesis is that when both of these markets rally it will be on USD weakness rather than intrinsic strength in either one BUT as GBP has been more depressed of later and with so much negativity around about GBP vs EUR the spring back relief rally will be stronger on GBP.  If right we should see EURGBP turn and drop fast and hard and continue to do so for at least as long as the primary pairs rally lasts. And that is what we have seen so far with what looks like an exhaustion overshoot of my daily chart channel line and drop back inside.  A drop away from this area is confirmatory of an exhaustion spike, and that is what we got.  There followed a small 1-2 retrace, relief rally, which retested the channel line but failed to break back though, and another small 1-2 before a short term channel (1H chart) break and failed retest and then we were off to the races. Recently there has been a consolidation in what could be a small pennant of another 1-2, probably the latter and then a fast break down from this formation to where we are now, testing the lower daily chart channel.  If I am right about a period of USD weakness then I would expect EUR to join the party soon and so we may see a relief rally off the daily channel lower line before a confirmed break. Worth watching the Triad to see how things progress over the coming days and during the Jackson hole panto.
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