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Caseynotes

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Posts posted by Caseynotes

  1. 15 hours ago, Guest Dow open said:

    Yes -it is better to wait. I usually do so but jumped the gun this time. Usually better to wait for a "whippy" move to play out before getting in. In fact, it usually pays to mark in hi/low of "whip" and wait for price to trade out either side. - requires patience., but usually worth it.

    @Turnip230248, there is a good exercise to help with recognising when the rhythm of the market is too whippy and when it has calmed and moving in a more controlled manner. I've heard it mentioned a few times before but it came up again today to remind me.

    On demo zoom in as close as you can go and enlarge the price scale so the current candle on a one hour chart takes up as much of the screen as possible, get a feel for how price pulses up and down on the current candle. Try to read it and anticipate, hitting the buy or sell and exiting over and over. It's a practice exercise on market movement and not a trading style so you use it to learn to gauge the current pace of rhythm of the market in order to help with trading on your actual time frame.

  2. That's quite brave @Turnip230248  trading straight into the US market open as you will usually get some bouncing around at first, tends to be better to allow things to settle a bit and wait for one side to take control. So your actual long entry was well judged with the bulls showing real intent with the 3 bar spike then hammering in on the pullback.

    • Like 1
  3. Yes, where is the inflation. Euro zone CPI 1.4% against the 1.5% expected (released today).

    Powell was too eager to continue the rate rising, normalisation and forced to back pedal, I think the odds of an expected rate cut  this year are up over 40%.

    Ger manu PMI was 44.1 against 44.7 expected (deepening contraction) released this morning.

    US manu ISM expected 54, release this afternoon.

  4. As mentioned in the EMEA brief  " S&P 500 gained 0.7% to 2,834.40 - posting its best performing quarter since 1998 as it rose 13.1% for the period."

    Yet SSI for S&P is 69% short, as it has been for all of March (at least, see previous posts).

    Overbought doesn't mean sell, it's actually a trend continuation signal, dropping out of overbought may indicate time to think about taking profits.

    In the same way, heading into resistance does't mean sell, you should be cautious but levels are made to be broken and strong momentum gives price a fair chance of doing that.

    Picking tops and bottoms is a specialist art, part time retail traders nearly always get it wrong and sitting waiting for major reversals in multi year bull runs is just plain daft.

    It's not wise to buy directly into resistance but it's not wise to sell directly into it either. Retail traders like to rush in then when caught out sit on losing trades for as long as possible hoping it might turn round but finally exiting when they just can't stand the pain anymore.

    Let price decide what it's going to do and then try to catch the ride to the next level of contention.

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    • Like 1
  5. Hi @ballentine, I don't know of any brokers who have adjustable time zones on their own platform, the only option is a third party platform such as PRT, it's unusual the IG version of PRT is not available in the US, I wonder @JamesIG if IG are planning to make it available for US clients in the future?

    The other alternative is the web based TradingView platform but IG don't have a dealing link up with them so it would be a case of using tradingview for charting and the IG platform for trading.  

  6. All 4 gapped up on Sunday open after a strong bull weekly bar and heading to test weekly resistance levels so should be a fun week and US NFP to cap it off on Friday.

    Dow currently checking the prior high at 26113 with the monthly chart resistance level just above at 26241.

    Dax spent last week daily checking support before inching higher, no strong resistance til 11824 but EU PMIs this week could cause problems.

    Ftse will be looking to continue on towards weekly chart resistance at 7370.

     

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