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What Drives the Dollar, Breaks the Nasdaq 100 in Quiet Before FOMC Storm?

QQQ NASDAQ 100 ETF, FED FORECAST, DOLLAR, USDJPY AND EARNINGS TALKING POINTS Risk appetite is still elevated at the upper end of the spectrum, but the correction for the likes of the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 create a backdrop of instability To determine where the markets are heading over the coming week, it is worthwhile to assess the dominant fundamental drive – and Fed speculation will recede this week Aside from US monetary policy, China’s 4Q GDP release is top scheduled

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Dividend Adjustments 17th January 2022 - 24th January 2022

Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 17th January 2022. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made. Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted o

US Rates Run as Markets Gear Up for Possible March Rate Hike - Stocks Wobble

US RATES, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 TALKING POINTS: Yesterday saw both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 put in strong bounces from support following early-session sell-offs. US rates continue to run higher with even greater push on the shorter-end of the curve. This is a similar dynamic to what showed from late 2017 into late 2018. That scenario led to a pivot from the Fed, from a hiking stance in 2018 to a cutting phase in 2019. Tomorrow brings CPI out of the US with the expecta

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Dollar Seeks Its Break as the S&P 500 Reverse Hard on Support

SPY S&P 500 ETF, QQQ NASDAQ 100 ETF, DOLLAR, USDJPY AND GBPUSD TALKING POINTS The week opened to the momentum of Friday’s selloff for US equities with a QQQ bearish gap through support leading the way By Monday’s close / Tuesday’s open, US equities fully reversed course with the SPY S&P 500 ETF posting a technically-clean reversal from channel support For market motivation through the coming 24-48 hours, the focus intensifies on US monetary policy with hawkish Fed spe

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As bond interest rates soar what's the outlook for 2022?

By: Frank Kaberna, tastytrade. Jan 10, 2022 It feels like it was just yesterday people were worried about US Treasury rates staying at 0% forever… while it wasn’t yesterday, it was as recent as summer of last year that short-term interest rates were as close as they’ve ever been to negative.* Now, the likelihood of multiple hikes to the Federal Funds Rate by the end of this year has people wondering just how big the chain reaction across the Treasury yield curve can be.   Pro

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Weekly Fundamental US Stocks Forecast: Inflation Data in Focus After FOMC Minutes, NFP

FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR THE US DOLLAR: NEUTRAL While the DXY Index added +0.07%, most of its gains were given back by the end of the week following the middling December US jobs report. Not only are there several ‘high’ ranked data releases due in the coming days, there are testimonies and speeches by several Federal Reserve policymakers that seem destined to introduce more volatility to financial markets. According to the IG Client Sentiment Index, the US Dollar has a mixed

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Boeing: Ready for Takeoff or Turbulence Ahead?

Boeing: Ready for Takeoff or Turbulence Ahead? Jan 5, 2022 |  By:James Blakeway. Tastytrade The first two trading days of 2022 were kind to both the airlines and Boeing (BA). This New Year rally comes after an understandably difficult two years in the commercial aviation sector. While Boeing and the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) are far off their 2020 lows, they have a long road of recovery still ahead. Since the start of 2020, Boeing and JETS are facing negative returns in excess of 30%

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Monthly Forex Seasonality - January 2022: Start of Year Bodes Well for AUD, GBP, Gold

JANUARY FX SEASONALITY OVERVIEW: The first month of the year tends to see gains for commodities and commodity-linked currencies. January is the best month of the year for gold prices in recent history. Typical losses by the US Dollar tend to bode well for Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand Dollars. The beginning of the month warrants a review of the seasonal patterns that have influenced forex markets over the past several years. For December, our focus

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Dividend Adjustments 10th January 2022 - 17th January 2022

Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 10th January 2022. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made. Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted o

AUD/JPY Forecast: Bullish on Yields and Energy Tailwinds: Top Trade Q1 2022

AUD/JPY has spent 2021 in a wide trading range of 77.90 and 86.26. While other central banks around the world have been withdrawing pandemic stimulus measures, both the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have maintained relatively loose policies. This is largely because inflation in both countries is not threatening economic stability. The RBA will not meet again until early February and when they do, fourth quarter inflation data will be available.

What Are the Biggest Political Risks for the Stock Market in 2022?

US DOLLAR, US-CHINA TRADE WAR, TAIWAN, IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL, - TALKING POINTS COVID-19, rising interest rates likely to magnify shocks of geopolitical risks US-China tension and the upcoming US midterm elections are top of the list Iran nuclear deal, precarious fundamentals could amplify market turbulence STOCK MARKET 2022 OUTLOOK: GEOPOLITICAL RISKS MAY CURB INVESTOR ENTHUSIASM Given the confluence of COVID-19 and rising interest rates, geopolitical shoc

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US Dollar outlook for 2022

The below commentary highlights some of the key factors affecting US monetary policy which should in turn dictate future price movements for the US dollar. Source: Bloomberg  Shaun Murison | Senior Market Analyst, Johannesburg | Publication date: Tuesday 07 December 2021 

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