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Visualisation in Excel of current market situation: Built using https://www.excelpricefeed.com  

"...an inverting yield curve and weak June manufacturing data across the globe have divided analysts on whether or not a pullback is due. DWS forecasts a “moderate cooling of economic activity”, but J

Overnight remains risk off. Indices and Oil down. Gold and Bonds up with Bonds just pulling back. Today not much on the calendar so it's all about the virus. 

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1 minute ago, dmedin said:

Rates will be left unchanged

probably true, the real news these days is in the presser and it's hints for immediate future expectations.

But what about Carney and the BoE tomorrow, talk of a possible rate cut there?

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Fed rate out at 19:00 GMT, not long. 

Fed expected to keep rates on hold at 1.5-1.75%

Trump urges Fed to ‘get smart’ and cut rate

Seven policy makers forecast above 2% target inflation in 2022

CPI rises in 2019 at fastest pace in eight years, but inflation still low

IGTV live show now on the platform for those interested. 

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Overnight Indices and Oil down. Bonds, USD and Gold up.

Today EU business climate at 10am. UK BoE rate decision at 12:00, Carney speaks at 12:30. Ger CPI at 1pm. US GDP at 1:30pm. Japan indy prod at 11:50pm.

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Overnight Indices down a touch after a strong day yesterday. Gold up slightly after a hard fall yesterday. Bonds and Oil up.

8:55am Ger Comp PMI. 9am EU Comp PMI. 9:30 UK Services PMI. 1:15 US ADP nfp. 2:45 - 3pm US PMIs.

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9 minutes ago, andysinclair said:

Not much movement around this morning, IG clients still long cryptos and oil, short indices and the USD:

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Interesting combination by 'the Herd', short indices (as ever), but long oil. Top and bottom picking (as ever, no I don't believe they are hedging).

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13 minutes ago, Caseynotes said:

Interesting combination by 'the Herd', short indices (as ever), but long oil. Top and bottom picking (as ever, no I don't believe they are hedging).

Thought I would take a closer look at oil. It's the usual story, here is the oil price (orange) vs client long sentiment (blue).

As the price dropped from the start of the year clients have been loading up their long positions:

57142501_oilsentiment.thumb.PNG.7d7de24c5be416aba8ba546f6a27c104.PNG

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21 minutes ago, andysinclair said:

Thought I would take a closer look at oil. It's the usual story, here is the oil price (orange) vs client long sentiment (blue).

As the price dropped from the start of the year clients have been loading up their long positions:

57142501_oilsentiment.thumb.PNG.7d7de24c5be416aba8ba546f6a27c104.PNG

as ever the usual story, the massive daily bear bar Jan 8th told everyone exactly what those who have the best resources and research thought of this market so retail do the opposite because, er, contrarian or something. And of course when proved wrong you should always revenge trade and double and even triple down lol.

 

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