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GBP/USD Outlook - Sterling Propped Up by Data But US Dollar Strength Controls Cable

GBP/USD PRICE, CHART, AND ANALYSIS: UK retail sales data a positive for the British Pound. EU-UK talks seem to be progressing. US dollar strength holding back GBP/USD. Keep up to date with all market-moving data releases and events by using the DailyFX Calendar The latest UK retail sales data for October beat market expectations, boosted primarily by higher sales in non-food stores, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Non

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Japanese Yen Looks to Consolidate Against the US Dollar After Making New Lows. Can USD/JPY Go Higher?

JAPANESE YEN, USD/JPY, US DOLLAR, US TREASURIES, HANG SENG, FED - TALKING POINTS: The Japanese Yen is caught between bullish momentum and resistance levels. APAC equity indices mostly moved slightly higher except for the Hang Seng Index. The US Dollar has gyrated to Treasury yield swings, will that drive USD/JPY? The Japanese Yen had little reaction to national CPI data released today. Headline CPI was a slight miss at 0.1% year on year against

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Dividend Adjustments 22nd November 2021 - 29th November 2021

Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 22nd November 2021. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made. Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook Ahead: AUD/USD, AUD/CAD, EUR/AUD

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR, AUD/USD, AUD/CAD, EUR/AUD – TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Australian Dollar facing mixed signals vs. USD, CAD and EUR AUD/USD may reverse higher on support, AUD/CAD ranging EUR/AUD downtrend remains despite recent consolidation AUD/USD 4-HOUR CHART The Australian Dollar faces its next potential opportunity to reverse the near-term downtrend against the US Dollar since the beginning of this month. AUD/USD is facing a combination o

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Crude Oil Price to Remain Capped on Strategic Reserve Release Talk

CRUDE OIL PRICE, CHART, AND ANALYSIS: US President looking for coordinated action on oil stockpiles. Crude oil will remain capped as discussions continue. The President of the United States, Joe Biden, is having ongoing talks with China, India, and Japan about a coordinated release of oil stockpiles to help push back against the high cost of oil that is dampening global growth prospects and fueling inflation. The US has already indicated that it is willing to rele

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British Pound (GBP) Price Outlook: GBP Strength at Risk From Political Turmoil

GBP PRICE, NEWS AND ANALYSIS: GBP has been outperforming even a firm US Dollar over the past few sessions, with EUR/GBP falling steeply. That’s despite a row over second jobs for members of the UK Parliament and sleaze allegations centering on the ruling Conservative Party that could weaken the Pound longer term.   GBP AT RISK FROM POLITICAL CONCERNS Domestic politics tend to have only a long-term influence on currency rates and not to affect near-term trends

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Canadian Dollar Down on CPI and Yields as Risk Turns Off. Will USD/CAD Keep Rising?

CANADIAN DOLLAR, US YIELDS, CRUDE OIL, NZD/USD, AUD/USD - TALKING POINTS: The Canadian Dollar got hit by bond traders’ expectations being disappointed. APAC equities were listless, undermined after a risk-off sentiment lead from the US. Crude oil fell, gold held and commodity currencies softened. Where to for USD/CAD? The Canadian Dollar dropped after CPI hit expectations. This disappointed domestic bond bears and rates there went lower to aid CAD depreciat

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EUR/USD Rate Selloff Pushes RSI Into Oversold Territory

EUR/USD RATE TALKING POINTS: EUR/USD is on track to mark a six day decline as it trades to a fresh yearly low (1.1263), and recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) raises the scope for a further depreciation in the exchange rate as the indicator crosses below 30 to push into oversold territory. EUR/USD RATE SELLOFF PUSHES RSI INTO OVERSOLD TERRITORY EUR/USD approaches the July 2020 low (1.1185) following the bearish reaction to

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US Dollar (DXY) Posts a Fresh 16-Month High Ahead of a Cluster of Fed Speakers

US Dollar Price, Chart, and Analysis US dollar basket spikes above 96.00. Multiple Fed speakers on the docket.   The yield on the benchmark US 10-year US Treasury is currently testing a fresh one-month high around 1.65% with traders eyeing the mid-March 1.73% yield level as the next target. While the latest move higher in yields may need to be consolidated to move DXY out of heavily overbought territory – see below – the medium-term outlook for the dollar remains posi

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Dollar Index (DXY) Soars on Data and Hawkish Fed Lifting Yields. Can USD Fly Higher?

US DOLLAR, TREASURY YIELDS, FED, BULLARD, AUD/USD, CBA, USD/JPY - TALKING POINTS: The US Dollar continues to break new ground as momentum gathers. Encouraging economic data and hawkish comments boost yields and USD. Commodities and currencies weaken against the Dollar. Will USD keep going? The US Dollar made a new high for the year on the back of solid data and more hawkish Fed commentary. US retail sales advanced 1.7% for the month of October, beating

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GBP/USD Breaking News: BOE Rate Hike Almost Certain On Strong CPI Data

GBP/USD ANALYSIS UK Inflation: 4.2%, Est. 3.9%. December rate hike highly likely. GBP/USD upside reversal may continue on strong fundamental data.   UK INFLATION BEATS ESTIMATES BOLSTERING DECEMBER RATE HIKE POSSIBILTY Sterling popped against the U.S. Dollar after the UK inflation print beat estimates (see calendar below). This may well be the final nail in the coffin to confirm settle the rate hike debate and allow for Bank of England (BoE) governor

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Australian Dollar Forecast: Wages Key to AUD/USD and RBA Outlook

AUDUSD, AUDNZD Price Analysis and News: Australian Wage Data Key for RBA Monetary Policy Considerations. AUD/NZD Elevated Relative to Bond Spreads. AUSTRALIAN WAGE DATA KEY FOR RBA MONETARY POLICY CONSIDERATIONS A plethora of RBA commentary overnight amid the release of the November meeting minutes as well as Governor Lowe’s speech. Within the RBA’s minutes, members noted that the risks to the inflation forecast had changed, as the distr

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British Pound (GBP) Price Outlook: GBP/USD Rallying After Strong UK Jobs Data

GBP PRICE, UK EMPLOYMENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS: The latest UK jobs report was stronger than economists had predicted, with employment above expectations, the unemployment rate down and average earnings higher than forecast. That has made an interest rate increase by the Bank of England next month almost certain, although the markets are unsure how large it will be. In turn, that has helped GBP/USD recover a very small part of its recent losses, although the trend in the pair is s

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes US Retail Sales for Direction

GOLD, XAU/USD, US RETAIL SALES, TREASURY YIELDS – TALKING POINTS Gold prices look higher after big gain on inflation worries US retail sales may provide the key for XAU’s direction XAU/USD eyes psychological 1900 level as prices gain Gold’s recent upside appears to be stalling out after prices cleared a key level of resistance during last week’s big +2.64% gain. XAU is currently trading near the highest levels since early June despite rising Tre

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EUR/GBP Pressured by Rate Expectations and Covid Cases, UK Inflation Data Looms

EUR/GBP Price, Chart, and Analysis: UK interest rate hike in December looking likely. UK inflation is set to rise further. EU covid rates turn higher. EUR/GBP traders will need to be alert over the next few days and weeks with a combination of hard data, BoE rate hike expectations, and rising covid cases in Europe will give further clues to the direction of the pair in the short term. In addition, ongoing talks between the EU and UK over the Northern Ireland protoco

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Crude Oil Price Volatility Ahead of US-Iran Nuclear Deal Talks

CRUDE OIL PRICES, INFLATION, IRAN-US RELATIONS, IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL - TALKING POINTS: Crude oil are prices at risk ahead of key geopolitical development at the end of the month. US-Iran talks on 2015 nuclear deal could yield progress, apply downward pressure on oil. What are obstacles to reconciliation and other macro-fundamental factors swaying crude?   ALCHEMY OR AFFECTATION? IRAN NUCLEAR TALKS Crude oil prices are vulnerable to geopolitically-induced volat

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