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Boris Johnson Risks Facing Vote of No-Confidence - Impact on GBP/USD

GBPUSD Analysis and Talking Points: GBP So Far Unfazed by Rising Political Uncertainty UK PM Johnson’s Tenure Hinges on Sue Gray’s Investigation See our quarterly GBP forecast to learn what will drive prices through Q1 UK politics have been stealing the limelight in recent weeks following revelations that the UK government had been flaunting lockdown restrictions on various occasions over the last two years. In light of these revelations, voting intentions for the Con

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Netflix earnings to set the pace for 2022 streaming wars

Stock Markets Jan 18, 2022        © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A smartphone with the Netflix logo lies in front of the displayed words "Streaming service" in this illustration taken March 24, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic By Dawn Chmielewski and Lisa Richwine LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) will be the first major streaming service to report earnings this week, offering investors a sign of whether companies have started to

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What to watch this earnings season 2022

What to watch this earnings season While Covid-19 dominated market sentiment in 2020 and 2021, earnings season outlooks are more nuanced for 2022. In particular, many investors will be watching to see if 2022 boasts a reversal of the market conditions that dominated the pandemic, such as low interest rates, a bullish Wall Street and booms for the tech and big pharma industries. Emphasis is likely to be on supposed ‘sure bets’ this season, with r

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What Drives the Dollar, Breaks the Nasdaq 100 in Quiet Before FOMC Storm?

QQQ NASDAQ 100 ETF, FED FORECAST, DOLLAR, USDJPY AND EARNINGS TALKING POINTS Risk appetite is still elevated at the upper end of the spectrum, but the correction for the likes of the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 create a backdrop of instability To determine where the markets are heading over the coming week, it is worthwhile to assess the dominant fundamental drive – and Fed speculation will recede this week Aside from US monetary policy, China’s 4Q GDP release is top scheduled

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Dividend Adjustments 17th January 2022 - 24th January 2022

Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 17th January 2022. These are projected dividends and likely to change. IG cannot be held responsible for any changes made. Dividends highlighted in red include a special dividend, therefore some or all of the amount will not be adjusted. Amount in brackets is the expected adjustment after special dividends excluded (where shown on major indices). Dividend adjustments due to be posted o

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US Rates Run as Markets Gear Up for Possible March Rate Hike - Stocks Wobble

US RATES, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 TALKING POINTS: Yesterday saw both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 put in strong bounces from support following early-session sell-offs. US rates continue to run higher with even greater push on the shorter-end of the curve. This is a similar dynamic to what showed from late 2017 into late 2018. That scenario led to a pivot from the Fed, from a hiking stance in 2018 to a cutting phase in 2019. Tomorrow brings CPI out of the US with the expecta

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Dollar Seeks Its Break as the S&P 500 Reverse Hard on Support

SPY S&P 500 ETF, QQQ NASDAQ 100 ETF, DOLLAR, USDJPY AND GBPUSD TALKING POINTS The week opened to the momentum of Friday’s selloff for US equities with a QQQ bearish gap through support leading the way By Monday’s close / Tuesday’s open, US equities fully reversed course with the SPY S&P 500 ETF posting a technically-clean reversal from channel support For market motivation through the coming 24-48 hours, the focus intensifies on US monetary policy with hawkish Fed spe

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As bond interest rates soar what's the outlook for 2022?

By: Frank Kaberna, tastytrade. Jan 10, 2022 It feels like it was just yesterday people were worried about US Treasury rates staying at 0% forever… while it wasn’t yesterday, it was as recent as summer of last year that short-term interest rates were as close as they’ve ever been to negative.* Now, the likelihood of multiple hikes to the Federal Funds Rate by the end of this year has people wondering just how big the chain reaction across the Treasury yield curve can be.   Pro

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Weekly Fundamental US Stocks Forecast: Inflation Data in Focus After FOMC Minutes, NFP

FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR THE US DOLLAR: NEUTRAL While the DXY Index added +0.07%, most of its gains were given back by the end of the week following the middling December US jobs report. Not only are there several ‘high’ ranked data releases due in the coming days, there are testimonies and speeches by several Federal Reserve policymakers that seem destined to introduce more volatility to financial markets. According to the IG Client Sentiment Index, the US Dollar has a mixed

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Boeing: Ready for Takeoff or Turbulence Ahead?

Boeing: Ready for Takeoff or Turbulence Ahead? Jan 5, 2022 |  By:James Blakeway. Tastytrade The first two trading days of 2022 were kind to both the airlines and Boeing (BA). This New Year rally comes after an understandably difficult two years in the commercial aviation sector. While Boeing and the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) are far off their 2020 lows, they have a long road of recovery still ahead. Since the start of 2020, Boeing and JETS are facing negative returns in excess of 30%

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Monthly Forex Seasonality - January 2022: Start of Year Bodes Well for AUD, GBP, Gold

JANUARY FX SEASONALITY OVERVIEW: The first month of the year tends to see gains for commodities and commodity-linked currencies. January is the best month of the year for gold prices in recent history. Typical losses by the US Dollar tend to bode well for Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand Dollars. The beginning of the month warrants a review of the seasonal patterns that have influenced forex markets over the past several years. For December, our focus

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