Jump to content

DAX


Recommended Posts

On 17/09/2020 at 15:26, jlz said:

@HMB

Just in case it could improve anything, this is a message that I get from IG on my dashboard.

Untitled.png.32bdce38bb20efbb94c7864e85185fdf.png

I personally think that shorter time frames are bound to failure. I can' prove it, I am just talking from my own experience. It is difficult to let your trades run over a few days because of the DFB fee but in the long run it pays out.

FWIW here is a video of someone who could trade 250 times a day. But with the preparation and focus required, I think it is the exception which proves the rule.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lK58oT5GTGE

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
13 minutes ago, AndrewS said:

FWIW here is a video of someone who could trade 250 times a day. But with the preparation and focus required, I think it is the exception which proves the rule.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lK58oT5GTGE

 

 

Interesting, I took a few notes. He plays Nasdaq stocks and waits for institutional moves looking at level 2 orders.

He sits down for 6 hours non-stop in front of the screen, I don't know if I could do that.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
On 15/09/2020 at 23:58, HMB said:

ok, closed the trade and entered Dec future long instead (stop 12800).  (R2 here = closing/intraday ATH, I guess..?  will watch out for that..)

looking forward to the money rolling in...  happy to split the virtual demo funds...  ;) 

stop hit - now much lower, no signal..

Link to comment
19 minutes ago, dmedin said:

Try using MACD to help give you a sense of momentum and direction

does that work?  to me all indicators seem lagging - if I see anything looking at them at all.  I need a view of what might happen in the future and why (in other words:  anticipate the very rich exploiting opportunities to take money from the less rich).

To me at best an indicator works as a self-fulfilling prophecy - which with all the automated trading, indicator trading courses, and guided algorithms may become ever more accurate, admitted.

but I I'm not an expert at all.

let me try to learn - why is MACD better than RSI?   or what does it tell you and when?

Edited by HMB
  • Great! 1
Link to comment
2 minutes ago, HMB said:

does that work?  to me all indicators seem lagging - if I see anything looking at them at all.  I need a view of what might happen in the future and why (in other words:  anticipate opportunities for the very rich to take money from the less rich).

To me at best an indicator works as a self-fulfilling prophecy - which with all the automated trading, indicator trading courses, and guided algorithms may become ever more accurate, admitted.

but I I'm not an expert at all.

let me try to learn - why is MACD better than RSI?

Indicators lag the market price, you can set the Indicator for certain things - using the default setting of an Indicator is about as bad as you could get it - If you blindly trade an Indicator it will not result in mega riches if it works as desired at all

That being said you can structure a Indicator to do certain things which can result in them working much better than blindly trading them

ALL Indicators measure MOMENTUM of price action - the maths inside the Indicator determine how it "looks" on a chart and what values it gives

It depends on your trading method as to how you use an indicator - but for getting into a trade right near a low point I don't think you can beat RSI 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
4 minutes ago, HMB said:

ok, how do you use it?

I've found the most use for it on a daily chart, when RSI diverges from price at a bottom (lower price, higher RSI) and during an uptrend when the price is very far away from moving averages and RSI is very overbought, it's a sign to get out.  The MACD is useful for entering positions though.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Just now, THT said:

Indicators lag the market price, you can set the Indicator for certain things - using the default setting of an Indicator is about as bad as you could get it - If you blindly trade an Indicator it will not result in mega riches if it works as desired at all

That being said you can structure a Indicator to do certain things which can result in them working much better than blindly trading them

ALL Indicators measure MOMENTUM of price action - the maths inside the Indicator determine how it "looks" on a chart and what values it gives

It depends on your trading method as to how you use an indicator - but for getting into a trade right near a low point I don't think you can beat RSI 

thanks!  guess it makes sense to have a view on momentum (i.e. on what momentum traders are likely to do).  will keep your assessment of RSI in mind!

Link to comment
2 minutes ago, dmedin said:

I've found the most use for it on a daily chart, when RSI diverges from price at a bottom (lower price, higher RSI) and during an uptrend when the price is very far away from moving averages and RSI is very overbought, it's a sign to get out.  The MACD is useful for entering positions though.

thank you!  I guess if you have some experience using these, it becomes more intuitive.  I will try to keep an eye on them.  

Link to comment
30 minutes ago, HMB said:

typo - 12540 of course, sorry

Apologies again for the typo - really stupid not to check this.  maybe should have left the position displayed in the chart as before to avoid misunderstandings.

lowered the stop now to 12613.5, simply because this would already be a relatively large gain for a single trade for me, and I somehow sense high probability that someone "messes up" the range expansion pattern/move (like a super rich guy taking money from the very rich...) - it kinda would have worked too well  (although Denise Shull points out that it's sometimes the best trades that come with this feeling).

 

1489648205_Germany30_20201002_06_18.thumb.png.9c0e685e0e3af055826853a76013583f.png

 

 

Link to comment
1 hour ago, HMB said:

lowered the stop now to 12613.5, simply because this would already be a relatively large gain for a single trade for me,

^

This.  Although I do it myself, moving your stop can mean that you limit your profits.  Better to trade with a fixed risk to reward and let it run till the end.

Link to comment
30 minutes ago, dmedin said:

^

This.  Although I do it myself, moving your stop can mean that you limit your profits.  Better to trade with a fixed risk to reward and let it run till the end.

Thanks, I understand.  

Maybe this is generally true, I genuinely don't know.  It would have run further this time, sure, but I've seen my profits melting away often enough.

Edited by HMB
  • Great! 1
Link to comment
On 16/09/2020 at 12:03, Caseynotes said:

You need 1 indicator for trend direction and force (degree of slope) and a sharper indicator for a trigger. I would use RSI for trend not trigger, same for psar.

this may seem totally unrelated - and I may be missing the point...  but above comment made me think about how to use different time frames more systematically (so thanks again!)...:

Today I believe was a good example case: after NDX overnight low was finally taken out, I tried to catch an expected rebound early.  lost a bit with fake signals I "believed to see" on the 1 min and 10 sec chart..  however the actual rebound was then indicated by higher lows in the one second chart.

probably this was highly dependent on the circumstances today though (Don Quarantino vs Stimulating Nancy...), the extent of the drop, Friday afternoon, etc.

nevertheless will try to keep this (always checking the shorter time frame chart before opening/closing a trade) as a component of a  - slightly - more systematic approach.. 

 

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • image.png

  • Posts

    • WTI Elliott wave analysis  Function - Counter-trend  Mode - Corrective  Structure - Triple Zigzag  Position - Wave X of triple zigzag Direction - Wave X of the triple zigzag is still in play Details - We still count a double zigzag for wave X. Current rally should stay below 85.64 to confirm (b) before turning down for (c) around 79.23-76.90. Invalidation below 75.49 will make us consider an impulse from 87.63 instead. Overall, WTI still supports the medium-term bullish triple zigzag sequence provided 75.49 is not breached. Not changed from the last update. WTI crude oil prices are currently undergoing a retracement of the pullback initiated on April 12th. This pullback, in conjunction with the ongoing recovery, appears to be corrective rather than indicative of a substantial reversal. Looking ahead, there's a likelihood of witnessing another upward movement surpassing the high set on April 12th in the upcoming weeks. However, it's crucial to note that the bullish corrective sequence, initiated in December 2023, remains intact, awaiting a definitive break, potentially signaled by an impulse wave downward. Analyzing the long-term perspective, particularly on the daily chart, reveals a corrective price structure evolving from the high of 120.91 in March 2022. This corrective phase retraces the preceding impulse wave, which spanned from the tumultuous period of April 2020 to its culmination in March 2022 at 130.91. This corrective pattern is unfolding into a double zigzag formation, with the current phase representing the final leg, denoted as wave Y of primary degree. Considering the intermediate degree wave (B) from 67.81, it's imperative that the price does not breach 95 before initiating a downturn for the corresponding wave (C). Despite the potential completion of wave (B) at 87.63 with a double zigzag pattern, the subsequent decline appears corrective in nature, leaving room for the possibility of another upward rally, perhaps forming a triple zigzag wave (B). However, a decisive downward break from 87.63 would indicate the commencement of wave (C) with an impulse or leading diagonal pattern. Zooming in on the H4 chart, a double zigzag formation is taking shape from 87.63, expected to conclude within the range of 79.23 to 76.90 before the price reverses direction for wave Z of (B). This constitutes the first scenario. Alternatively, if wave (b) extends higher and surpasses 87.63, it would signify the completion of wave X, with wave Z poised to ascend further. The third scenario comes into play if the decline extends beyond 75.48, potentially signaling the completion of wave (B) at 87.63 and indicating a bearish outlook for wave (C). Monitoring these scenarios on the H4 charts will provide valuable insights into the unfolding price dynamics, guiding potential trading strategies in the volatile WTI crude oil market.   Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!        
    • Why are your June No Lead Gasoline futures, with an expiry of 30-May, shown as "Closing only: contract due to expire" but your May No Lead Gasoline, expiring 29-Apr, shown as tradable? Your futures desk really ought to be on top of this, it makes it extremely difficult to trade futures when you only put the near term futures up to trade and then over-write with the next roll. It's not the first time I've seen this happen. Ideally, you should be showing at least the next 3 contracts.
    • MSFT Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Daily Chart Microsoft Inc., (MSFT) Daily Chart MSFT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis   FUNCTION: Counter Trend MODE: Corrective STRUCTURE: Zigzag POSITION: Intermediate (2) DIRECTION: Bottom in wave A of (2).   DETAILS: We are considering a significant top in place with wave (1), and we are now looking for a three wave move correction into wave (2). We seem to be finding buyers on Medium Levell 400$, looking for 400$ to turn into resistance.         MSFT Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 4Hr Chart Microsoft Inc., (MSFT) 4Hr Chart MSFT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis   FUNCTION: Counter Trend MODE: Corrective STRUCTURE: Zigzag POSITION: Wave A.   DIRECTION: Bottom in wave {v}. DETAILS: I can count a clear five wave move into wave A, with alternation between {ii} and {iv}. Looking for a pullback in wave B to then fall back lower.       In this comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), we provide an in-depth review of the stock’s potential movements based on its current wave patterns, as observed in both the daily and 4-hour charts on April 26, 2024. This analysis aims to assist traders and investors in understanding the underlying market dynamics and planning their strategies accordingly.       * MSFT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Daily Chart* The daily chart of MSFT shows the stock in a corrective phase with a zigzag structure, identified as Intermediate wave (2). Currently, the stock is witnessing a bottom formation in wave A of (2). After observing a significant top in wave (1), MSFT appears to be undergoing a corrective three-wave movement. The price level around $400, which has been attracting buyers, is anticipated to evolve into a resistance level. Traders should monitor this zone closely for potential reversal signals. * MSFT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 4Hr Chart* Moving into the 4-hour chart, the analysis continues to reflect a counter-trend with a zigzag corrective structure, highlighting the end of Wave A. Here, a clear five-wave movement has been identified, with distinct alternations between waves {ii} and {iv}. The current position, at the bottom of wave {v}, suggests that the stock might experience a short-term pullback in wave B before potentially declining further. This provides a strategic point for traders to look for entry and exit points during the unfolding of wave B.
×
×
  • Create New...
us