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By tradinglounge · Posted
WTI Elliott wave analysis Function - Counter-trend Mode - Corrective Structure - Impulse for wave 1 Position - Wave 2 Direction - Wave 2 is still in play Details - Wave a of 2 appears to be close to completion. We could see a deeper pullback for wave b of 2 in the coming days against 72.47. Crude Oil Elliott Wave Analysis Crude oil prices have been rising in June following a two-month sell-off that resulted in a 17% decline. The current recovery is expected to continue higher but is likely to be capped below the April 2024 highs before turning lower. It's important to note that crude oil has been undergoing a long-term bearish correction since March 2022, which appears to be ongoing. Daily Chart Analysis: The daily chart depicts the bearish corrective cycle from March 2022 (130.9), which is evolving as a double zigzag pattern, labeled as wave W-X-Y (circled in navy blue) of the primary degree. The primary degree wave W (circled) concluded at 64.56 in March 2023 after a 360-day, 50% decline, forming a double zigzag structure. The subsequent wave X recovery began in March 2023 and ended at 95 in September 2023 with a flat structure. Consequently, wave Y started in September 2023, also developing into a zigzag pattern, with an impulse wave (A) ending at 67.81 in December 2023. The recovery wave (B) then completed with a double zigzag at 87.63 in April 2024. Wave (C) is anticipated to be an impulse wave and is expected to decline much lower than 67.81 in the coming months. Wave 1 of (5) ended at 72.47 with an impulse, and the current recovery for wave 2 is still unfolding. H4 Chart Analysis: The H4 chart indicates that wave 2 has not yet finished and could reach higher prices in the 80s region in the next few weeks. Currently, wave 2 appears to be completing its first leg, wave a (circled). After this, a pullback is expected for wave b (circled), which should stay above 72.47 before the final leg to complete wave 2 in the 80s region. Unless there is a breach above 87.63, the medium-term direction is expected to be downwards after the wave 2 corrective bounce. Summary: Crude oil prices are experiencing a recovery in June after a significant decline. The current recovery is anticipated to continue but is likely to be capped below the April 2024 highs. The long-term bearish correction that started in March 2022 appears to be ongoing. On the daily chart, the bearish corrective cycle is forming a double zigzag pattern, with wave Y currently in progress. The H4 chart suggests that wave 2 is nearing completion and could reach the 80s region. After this corrective bounce, the medium-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaches 87.63. Traders should monitor the key levels of 87.63 and 72.47 to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend after the wave 2 correction. Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here! -
By Mark_Stefanski · Posted
Yancoal Australia (03668) recently announced that, according to its 2024 Long-Term Incentive Plan, the company has issued 1.5339 million performance share rights to several senior executives. This incentive plan aims to enhance the motivation of the management team and improve the performance of the company through equity incentives. Mark Stefanski believes that this initiative not only aids in the long-term development of the company but also reflects its confidence in future performance growth. Detailed Analysis and Background of the Long-Term Incentive Plan The 2024 Long-Term Incentive Plan of Yancoal Australia involves issuing 1.5339 million performance share rights at no issue price to several senior executives, including eight directors of the subsidiaries of the company, representing approximately 0.12% of the issued share capital. The vesting conditions for this incentive plan are based on relative earnings per share and cost target hurdles, with vesting to be determined at the end of the performance period (i.e., December 31, 2026), subject to the discretion of the board. Mark Stefanski believes that this incentive mechanism helps ensure that the management team focuses on improving the profitability and cost control of the company over the coming years to achieve long-term sustainable development. The core of the long-term incentive plan is to drive the motivation and creativity of the management team to enhance the performance of the company. Mark Stefanski points out that this plan not only attracts and retains outstanding management talent but also effectively stimulates their enthusiasm, thereby improving the overall operational efficiency and market competitiveness of the company. Additionally, by providing incentives in the form of performance share rights, the interests of the management team become more aligned with those of the shareholders, further strengthening its governance structure. Impact of the Long-Term Incentive Plan on the Company and Shareholders Mark Stefanski believes that the long-term incentive plan of Yancoal Australia has several positive impacts on the company and its shareholders. Firstly, by granting performance share rights to senior executives, the company can retain its core management team in the face of fierce market competition, ensuring stable and continuous development in future operations. From the perspective of a shareholder, the implementation of the long-term incentive plan signifies that the interests of the management team are highly aligned with those of the shareholders. Mark Stefanski mentions that the management team can only obtain performance share rights if the company achieves certain performance targets, which makes the management more focused on the long-term development of the company and the enhancement of shareholder value in their decision-making. Mark Stefanski notes that although the long-term incentive plan has clear positive impacts on the company and its shareholders, investors should still pay attention to changes in the market environment and potential challenges the company may face in implementing the incentive plan. For instance, global economic uncertainty, increasing market competition, and the effectiveness of internal management are all important factors that investors need to consider. Market Reaction and Future Outlook Mark Stefanski mentions that after Yancoal Australia announced its long-term incentive plan, the market reaction was positive, with investors generally optimistic about its future prospects. The stock price rose following the announcement, reflecting the expectations of the market on the future performance improvement of the management team. However, while investors recognize the incentive plan, they should also maintain a cautious attitude, keeping an eye on its operational performance and changes in the market environment over the coming years. In conclusion, Mark Stefanski believes that by implementing the long-term incentive plan, Yancoal Australia is likely to achieve continuous performance growth and an increase in shareholder value in the future. Investors can download and register for stock trading applications to gain more market information and professional investment advice, helping them make more informed decisions in their investment journey.
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